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Inference Accelerator Market 2026: 60%–70% of the Accelerator Market, GPU vs ASIC Share Inverts, Five Schools Clash

· 5 min read
Industry Research Team

For the past three years, the entire AI hardware story was "training": who had the most H100s, who could connect a hundred thousand GPUs into a cluster. That race is essentially settled — NVIDIA won. But the next battlefield, "inference," is being fought under completely different rules: the measure is no longer peak FLOPS, but cost-per-token, latency, and power. In 2026, inference chips overtake training in scale for the first time, becoming the main battlefield of AI accelerators.


1. Inference Becomes the Main Battlefield: 80%–90% of Compute Spent on Inference

Training a large model costs hundreds of millions of dollars — once. But once the model goes live, it must answer billions of queries day after day. A popular consumer model may need tens of thousands of accelerators running 7×24 to keep up with demand. Therefore:

  • Inference accounts for roughly 80%–90% of a model's lifecycle compute;
  • Inference chips will make up about 60%–70% of the ~$400B AI accelerator market in 2026, up from only ~40% in 2023;
  • Inference chip growth (estimated +52.7% YoY) significantly outpaces training chips (+28.4%); the share of inference-side compute demand exceeded training-side for the first time in 2026, reaching 54% (~$1010B).

The economics of inference are straightforward: training cost is amortized to near-zero, while inference cost becomes the entire bill. Every 1% cut in inference cost flows directly to profit — for a company whose inference traffic reaches hyperscale like OpenAI, the half of the bill is a number followed by a string of zeros.


2. Market Size: Structural Growth Inflection Point Has Arrived

Market2026 SizeGrowthNotes
Global dedicated inference chips$412.7B+38.4%14.2 pct higher growth than training chips
China dedicated inference chips$118.6B (28.7% of global)+44.1%Strongest single market in APAC by growth
Global AI training/inference chips (incl. GPU/NPU)exceeds $1850B+40.2%GPU ~62%

China's domestic substitution is accelerating, with domestic inference chips reaching 34.6% of shipments, up 9.8 pct from 2025.


3. Technology-Axis Share Inverts: GPU Slows, ASIC Soars

Axis2026 Shipment ShareTrend
GPU52.6%Still leads, but growth slows to 22.7%
ASIC custom chips41.3%Up sharply from 17.8% in 2022
FPGAStableSpecific low-latency scenarios

Thanks to ecosystem maturity, GPU remains the mainstay, but NPU/ASIC already holds a 1.8× advantage over same-generation GPUs in energy efficiency, driving rapid adoption at the edge and on-device. Shipments of inference-optimized ASICs are expected to reach 11.5 million units, with unit cost about 35% lower than GPUs.


4. Five Schools Clash

SchoolRepresentative ProductsCore StrengthUse Cases
General-purpose GPUNVIDIA Rubin / B200 / H200Mature ecosystem, train+infer unifiedFrontier training + highly interactive inference
LPU (Language Processing Unit)Groq LPUUltra-low latency, deterministic throughputReal-time dialogue, high-concurrency inference
TPU (inference-specific)Google TPU 8i (Zebrafish)288GB HBM, 384MB on-chip SRAM, 19.2 Tb/s ICIGoogle's scaled inference
Custom ASICOpenAI Jalapeno, Microsoft Maia 200, Meta MTIAStrip generality tax for own models, ~50% lower cost/tokenHyperscaler's own workloads
Air-cooled inference cardIntel Crescent Island350W air-cooled, 480GB LPDDR5X, tokens/wattCost-sensitive mid/long-tail inference

OpenAI's Jalapeno, co-developed with Broadcom, aims to cut inference token cost by roughly 50% versus a general-purpose GPU stack — the fifth member to join the "custom inference chip club" (after Google TPU, Amazon Inferentia/Trainium, Microsoft Maia, and Meta MTIA).


5. Core Metric Shifts: cost-per-token and tokens/watt

The fundamental difference between the inference race and the training race is the low switching cost:

  • Training requires a 100k-GPU cluster + NVLink + CUDA, with extremely high migration cost;
  • Inference is "embarrassingly parallel" at the endpoint level — no million-GPU cluster needed; a node that produces tokens fast and cheaply suffices, and is replaceable per endpoint.

This means NVIDIA's three moats (fastest silicon, NVLink scale-out, CUDA) are no longer absolute on the inference side. When the largest AI buyer (OpenAI) starts treating GPUs as "one of the options," the GPU premium begins to erode — pricing power relies on scarcity, and custom chips attack that scarcity from two directions at once: both reducing merchant-chip demand and giving buyers a credible external negotiation option.


6. Edge and On-Device Explosion: Long-Tail Signal

Demand shows significant long-tail and fragmentation:

Scenario2026 Demand SizeGrowth
Cloud inference$198.2B (48%)+24.5% (slowing)
Edge inference$126.5B (30.7%)+52.3%
On-device inference$88.0B (21.3%)+68.9%
Autonomous-driving inference$67.3B+58.2%
Industrial QA / robotics inference$42.1B+63.7%

The latency sensitivity and power constraints of inference workloads are reshaping chip architecture design priorities — which also explains why "air-cooled, large-memory" solutions like Crescent Island can find a niche.

References


This article is compiled from publicly available 2026 market research, brokerage reports, and industry analysis. Market sizes and shares are third-party estimates with inconsistent methodologies and are for reference only.

WAIC 2026 Recap: Huawei Atlas 950 SuperPoD Live Hardware Wins SAIL Grand Award, Domestic Compute Enters the "System-Level" Showdown

· 5 min read
Industry Research Team

The 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) was held July 17-20, 2026 at the Shanghai World Expo Center, themed "Intelligent Partners, Creating the Future Together." Over 1,100 companies showcased 3,000+ exhibits, with 300+ products debuting globally. For the compute-card industry, this concentrated review of domestic compute sent a clear signal: the competitive main line is shifting from "single-chip peak compute" to "SuperNode system-level effective compute."

1. Huawei Atlas 950 SuperPoD: live debut, wins SAIL grand award

Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD live hardware made its first public appearance at WAIC 2026, on-site carrying 16 compute cabinets with 1,024 Ascend cards total. With three system-level innovations — "ultra-wide bandwidth, ultra-low latency, unified memory addressing" — it stood out from hundreds of domestic and international entries to win the conference's top honor, the SAIL (Super AI Leader) Award.

Core parameters (confirmed on-site at WAIC)

MetricAtlas 950 SuperPoD
Exhibited scale16 compute cabinets / 1,024 Ascend cards
Max interconnect scale8,192 Ascend NPU cards fully interconnected (full config)
Interconnect protocolHuawei in-house "Lingqu" (UnifiedBus) 2.0
Total compute1 EFLOPS FP8 / 2 EFLOPS FP4 (1,024 cards); full 8,192-card ~8 EFLOPS FP8
Unified memory256 TB globally unified memory address space
Interconnect latency3 μs ultra-low RTT; TB-level NPU interconnect bandwidth
Full config128 compute cabinets + 32 interconnect cabinets = 160 cabinets, ~1000㎡, carrying 8,192 Ascend 950DT
LaunchFull config planned for Q4 2026
CoolingFully liquid-cooled blind-plug architecture

Huawei disclosed for the first time: the previous-gen Ascend 384 SuperNode has cumulatively shipped 750+ units commercially, deployed across 20+ industries including internet, operators, finance, education, healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing, calling it "the only domestic SuperNode that has trained SOTA models."

2. Software ecosystem: CANN fully open-sourced, developers at scale

Beyond hardware, Huawei highlighted open-source software ecosystem progress:

  • CANN heterogeneous compute architecture and MindSeries base software suite were fully open-sourced end of 2025;
  • The CANN open-source community has incubated 67 projects, 12.44M+ lines of code, with 3,500+ monthly active developers;
  • Huawei has co-developed 7,000+ solutions with 3,000+ industry partners, serving 2,000+ core government/enterprise customers;
  • WAIC showcased 60+ real business scenarios, 20+ benchmark cases, covering the full chain from technology breakthrough to scaled commercial deployment.

3. Domestic chips' Day-0 adaptation becomes routine

On July 6, 2026, Tencent released the MoE model Hunyuan T3 (295B parameters, 256K context); domestic chips rapidly completed Day-0 adaptation:

VendorChipAdaptation status
Moore ThreadsMTT S5000Completed rapid Hunyuan T3 adaptation (previously adapted DeepSeek-V4, GLM-5.2)
MetaXXiyun C seriesIn-house MXMACA stack first to full-chain Day-0 adaptation, zero-code deployment

Moore Threads also showcased the MTT C256 SuperNode (first-of-its-kind single-layer Scale-up 256-card full interconnect, sub-microsecond latency) and three AI-factory solutions — "model training factory / token production factory / agent production factory."

4. More domestic compute debut highlights

Vendor / productHighlight
Orient AlphaChip DF1000World's first "software-defined + near-memory computing" 3D chip, interconnect pitch compressed to sub-micron
ZhongHao XinYing "Xuyu"Fully in-house next-gen TPU-architecture AI-specific chip, with Taize 2.0 server
Enflame × IluvatarDomestic high-performance Matrix SuperNode based on OEX+dOCS architecture, shortlisted for the conference "Excellent AI Leader Award"
Rongming MicroelectronicsAdvancing next-gen VPU, evolving from video processing to "visual-agent compute base"

The domestic AI chip lineup also included Moore Threads, MetaX, Enflame, Houmo, Cixiong, Suaneng, SemiDrive, Phytium, Aixin, Iluvatar, and others.

Industry interpretation: from "can it be built" to "is it used well"

WAIC 2026 reflects a fundamental shift in the competitive stage of domestic AI chips:

  1. SuperNode becomes the main battlefield: beyond single-chip performance, system-level capabilities — "inter-chip interconnect + cluster scale + cooling" — become the breakthrough key. Huawei Lingqu and Enflame/Iluvatar OEX are both pushing here. Huatai Securities defines 2026 as the "first year of domestic SuperNodes," estimating China's SuperNode architecture market could reach ¥341.4B by 2028, with 2026-2028 CAGR of 194%.
  2. Software ecosystem delivers: Day-0 adaptation has gone from slogan to routine; the "launch-and-adapt" closed loop between domestic large models (DeepSeek-V4, GLM-5.2, Hunyuan T3) and domestic chips is essentially formed.
  3. Demand-side endorsement: China Mobile earlier released its 2026-2027 AI SuperNode centralized procurement announcement — about 6,208 cards, over ¥2B — accelerating domestic SuperNode scaled commercialization.

References


This article is compiled from WAIC 2026 (July 17-20) on-site and official disclosures, and will continuously track the 950 SuperNode Q4 launch.

Domestic GPU IPO Wave: The "Four Little Dragons" Assemble on Capital Markets, Moore Threads MTT S5000 Benchmarks Against H100

· 5 min read
Industry Research Team

From December 2025 to July 2026 — just half a year — at least 6 AI chip companies have listed or are about to list on capital markets. Together with already-listed Cambricon, Hygon, and Iluvatar, the domestic GPU corps' total market cap is approaching ¥2 trillion. This marks the critical climb from domestic GPUs being "usable" to "useful."

1. The "Four Little Dragons" assemble on capital markets

CompanyListing statusRaise / issue priceSponsor
Moore ThreadsListed (STAR Market sh688795, 2025-12-05)Issue price ¥114.28, raised ¥8BCITIC Securities
MetaXIPO accepted (2026-06-30)¥3.904B (total investment ¥5B)Huatai United
EnflamePassed review (2026-06-15)¥6B
BirenHKEX / sprinting

Already-listed camp: Cambricon (sh688256, STAR Market 2020-07-20), Hygon, Iluvatar (HKEX). Moore Threads turned a book profit of ¥29.35M in Q1; MetaX narrowed losses 57.7% and gave a 2026 breakeven timeline.

2. Moore Threads MTT S5000: benchmarking against H100

Moore Threads announced its flagship AI train+inference GPU MTT S5000 successfully completed full-pipeline adaptation validation of Zhipu's new-generation large model GLM-5 — measured performance "breaks the domestic compute ceiling":

MetricMTT S5000
Architecture4th-gen "Pinghu" architecture
FP8 compute1 PFLOPS (1,000 TFLOPS)
Memory bandwidth1.6 TB/s
PositioningFull-function train+inference GPU, benchmarks against NVIDIA H100
ProductionMass-produced; clusters online supporting trillion-parameter training

Deployment validation: jointly completed full-pipeline training of embodied-brain model RoboBrain 2.5 with BAAI; partnered with SiliconFlow for high-performance DeepSeek-V3 inference, single-card speed near international top products. IPO funds go to three directions: next-gen AI train+inference chip, next-gen graphics chip, next-gen AI SoC chip.

WAIC 2026 new progress: Moore Threads showcased the MTT C256 SuperNode (first-of-its-kind single-layer Scale-up 256-card full interconnect, sub-microsecond latency) and three AI-factory solutions — "model training factory / token production factory / agent production factory"; the company pre-announced H1 2026 revenue of ¥1.65B-1.75B, up 135%-149% YoY.

3. Cambricon: dual flagships MLU590/690

ChipProcessComputeMemoryCustomer / status
MLU590 (思元590)7nm ChipletINT8 512 TOPS / FP16 345 TFLOPS96 GB HBM2eByteDance inference mainstay, ~80% of A100 overall, mass shipments early 2026
MLU690 (思元690)5nm-class (SMIC N+2)FP16 700+ TFLOPS / INT8 2800+ TOPS196 GB HBM3 (3.35 TB/s)Dual-die packaging, MLU-Link 890 Gbps; ~70% of H100 (80-90% pure inference); ByteDance largest customer, mass production early 2026

Cambricon is the only domestic AI chip vendor with a "unified edge-cloud architecture" — one MLU instruction set spans 思元 220 (edge) → 370 (border) → 590/690 (cloud), with one NeuWare toolchain across compute tiers.

Capital and performance double explosion: Cambricon's total market cap exceeded ¥1 trillion on June 30, 2026, becoming the STAR Market's first "trillion-yuan stock," up 75%+ YTD. On performance, Q1 2026 revenue ¥2.885B (+160% YoY), deducted net profit ¥934M; full-year 2025 revenue ¥6.497B (+453% YoY), net profit attributable to parent ¥2.059B, ending long-term losses. ByteDance has cumulatively deployed over 100k 思元 590/690, its largest customer.

4. DeepSeek-V4 effect: changing the expectation coordinate system

On April 24, 2026, DeepSeek released the trillion-parameter flagship DeepSeek-V4. Unlike a year earlier when V3's launch sparked debate over "can domestic chips even run large models," this time multiple domestic chips — Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, Hygon, MetaX, Moore Threads, Kunlun, T-Head, Iluvatar — completed adaptation on launch day.

The evaluation coordinate system is shifting: from "what percentage of NVIDIA's same-generation product performance" to "can it carry the real workloads of top-tier large models."

Industry interpretation

  1. Capital ammunition in place: dense IPOs provide ample funding for domestic GPU R&D iteration and capacity expansion, moving from "technology breakthrough" to "commercial virtuous cycle."
  2. Train+inference becomes the mainstream route: Moore Threads takes the full-function GPU route (graphics+AI+general compute), differentiating from Huawei Ascend's "AI-focused."
  3. Software ecosystem is the decider: Day-0 adaptation and the maturity of unified software stacks (MUSA / NeuWare / MXMACA) are replacing raw peak compute as the core yardstick of domestic GPU "usability."

References


This article continuously tracks the domestic GPU listing process and product iteration.

Huawei Ascend 950 Series Capacity & Orders Deep Dive: 950PR Monthly Capacity Jumps 10×, ByteDance Locks In 350k Units for $5.6B

· 4 min read
Industry Research Team

The Ascend 950 series (950PR inference / 950DT training) has become the core supply of domestic AI compute. Per multiple brokerages and industry research, 950 series capacity is 100% booked with scarce spot supply; the full-year 1.2M-unit target is "100% certain," with expectations of an upward revision to 1.5M. This article summarizes capacity and order data as of July 2026.

1. Capacity pace: ~10× MoM jump in June

Time950PR monthly capacityNotes
May 202650k-60k unitsNear full production
June 2026500k-600k units~10× MoM; SMIC, Hua Hong tier-1 suppliers on overtime
Q3 2026 (est.)700k-800k unitsPer month
Full-year 2026 target1.2M unitsUpward revision to 1.5M expected

Supply chain delivery is tight: high-speed backplanes and liquid-cooling connectors' lead time stretched from 2 weeks to 6-8 weeks; orders are booked into 2027.

2. Order structure: top cloud providers + operators + overseas

CustomerLocked volumeAmount / Notes
ByteDance350k 950PR$5.6B, concentrated delivery from Q3 2026
Tencent / Alibaba / Baidu~250k 950PR + 150k 950DTCombined ~400k units
Three major operators200k+ unitsCentralized procurement, for intelligent compute centers and AI private networks
OverseasSouth Korea 2,000 units, Malaysia 3,000 servers, Russia ten-thousand-card clusterFrom pilot to commercial

3. Shipment forecast: firmly #1 domestic

Per CCA (Kezhi) Consulting estimates:

Metric20252026 (forecast)
Huawei Ascend total shipments812k cards1.026M cards
Of which 950PR~800k units
Of which 950DT~100k-200k units

Huawei has completed the product transition from the 910 series to the 950 series. The internet industry has become Ascend's largest application market; competitive advantage is extending from single-hardware performance to software ecosystem and system capabilities.

4. Going overseas: formal South Korea entry in Q4

Per Korean media ETNews, Huawei plans Q4 2026 to formally enter the South Korean market with the Ascend series and Atlas 950 SuperPod:

  • Local distributor agreements signed; two channel partners including SK Shieldus selected
  • Main products: 950PR (mass-produced and delivered since April) and 950DT (launched Q4)
  • Official line: 950PR inference performance is 2.87× that of H20, priced at about 1/4 of it

5. WAIC 2026: 1024-card live debut confirmed

At WAIC 2026 (July 17-20, Shanghai), Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD live hardware made its first public appearance — a 16 compute-cabinet, 1,024 Ascend-card scale — and won the conference's top honor, the SAIL Award:

  • Core metrics: total compute 1 EFLOPS FP8 / 2 EFLOPS FP4, 256 TB globally unified memory addressing, Lingqu 2.0 interconnect, 3 μs ultra-low RTT latency
  • Full configuration: 128 compute cabinets + 32 interconnect cabinets = 160 cabinets, ~1000㎡ footprint, carrying 8,192 Ascend 950DT, planned Q4 2026 launch
  • Commercial foundation: previous-gen 384 SuperNode has cumulatively shipped 750+ units, deployed in 20+ industries
  • Software ecosystem: CANN fully open-sourced end of 2025; community incubated 67 projects, 12.44M+ lines of code, 3,500+ monthly active developers

WAIC's debut confirmed the 950 series' "SuperNode-first" product logic: beyond single-card compute, system-level effective compute (interconnect bandwidth + unified memory + low latency) is the key dimension for domestic compute to benchmark against international flagships.

Ascend roadmap recap

ProductPositioningKey metrics (official roadmap)
950PRInference1 PFLOPS (FP8) / 2 PFLOPS (FP4), 2 TB/s interconnect
950DTTrainingSuperNode core, launched Q4
960Train/inference2 PFLOPS (FP8) / 4 PFLOPS
970Next-genIn planning

Industry interpretation

  1. Domestic substitution moves from inference to training: 950PR (inference) ramps first, 950DT (training) follows in Q4, combined with the Atlas 950 SuperPoD ten-thousand-card interconnect — domestic compute now has the complete "training substitution" puzzle for the first time.
  2. Capacity is the biggest variable: order certainty is extremely high, but SMIC/Hua Hong advanced-process capacity, HBM supply, and advanced packaging remain ramp bottlenecks — the root of "scarce spot supply."
  3. Going overseas opens a second growth curve: bulk procurement from South Korea, Malaysia, Russia, and Latin America marks domestic compute's shift from "internal circulation" to "external circulation."

References


Data in this article is based on official and major brokerage research; capacity/orders are dynamic figures and will be continuously updated.

NVIDIA Vera Rubin Officially Ships: First VR200 NVL72 Delivered, Samsung HBM4 Mass Production, Rubin Ultra Cabinet Sky-High Price

· 5 min read
Industry Research Team

July 2026, NVIDIA's next-gen AI compute platform Vera Rubin officially began its first shipments, succeeding the Blackwell architecture, with large-scale mass production planned for H2 2026. First customers include Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, Oracle, and other large cloud providers.

1. World's First VR200 NVL72 Delivered (Milestone)

CoreWeave jointly with Dell announced that the world's first NVIDIA Vera Rubin VR200 NVL72 cabinet has been officially delivered and passed the L11 full-cabinet hardware diagnostics on the first try. This marks Rubin's move from roadmap to physical product, with no major bottlenecks in core supply-chain links (HBM4, advanced packaging, liquid cooling, ultra-high-power power supply).

VR200 NVL72 Core Configuration

MetricVera Rubin VR200 NVL72
Cabinet codenameOberon
GPU72 Rubin GPUs
CPU36 Vera CPUs
Per-GPU memory288 GB HBM4
Per-CPU memory1.5 TB LPDDR5X
Total cabinet HBM420.7 TB (20,736 GB)
Total cabinet LPDDR5X54 TB
InterconnectNVLink 6 full mesh
Inference performance~3.6 exaFLOPS class
CoolingLiquid cooling
Generational improvement~3.5× per-GPU compute, ~2.8× memory bandwidth (vs Blackwell)

Vera CPU integrates 88 custom Olympus ARM cores, with 1.8 TB/s interconnect to the GPU, usable as a GPU memory expansion pool. NVIDIA completed its first Vera CPU deliveries to Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, and Oracle Cloud in May.

2. Samsung HBM4 Mass Production: Key Bottleneck Eases

July 8, 2026, Samsung Electronics officially started HBM4 mass production for the Vera Rubin platform, with reported HBM4 mass-production yield reaching 70% (above the initial 60-65% expectation). Confirmation of this key supply-chain link clears obstacles for Rubin's large-scale deployment.

HBM Supply Landscape (2026 Q1)Share
SK hynix45%
Samsung40%
Micron15%

HBM4 uses 8-layer stacking (12-layer design planned for 2028), priced at about 2.8× HBM3e. TrendForce predicts HBM supply will grow 65% annually, with HBM4 reaching 35% of total output by 2027 Q4.

3. Rubin Ultra Sky-High Price: HBM Cost Dominates

Per BofA Global Research estimates, the Rubin generation will push single-server cost to a new high:

Cost ItemRubin VR200 (Oberon)Comparison
Cabinet HBM4 usage20,736 GB
HBM4 unit price~$18.40 / GBBlackwell (HBM3e) ~$11.26 / GB
HBM4 cost alone~$382KExcluding LPDDR5X
Rubin Ultra cabinet estimated price~$21MITHome / BofA estimate

4. Rubin Ultra Design Change: Original 4-die Cancelled (per SemiAnalysis)

Semiconductor research firm SemiAnalysis (2026-06-30) disclosed that the original 4-die Rubin Ultra GPU unveiled at GTC 2026 has been cancelled; the version actually shipping in 2027 is roughly halved in scale and performance:

  • Reason for cancellation: The original integrated 4 compute dies + 16 HBM4E in a single CoWoS-L package; the substrate warped under the 4-die config, causing compute-die-to-substrate contact failure and yield collapse; the alternative CoPoS won't reach mass production until after late 2028, missing the 2027 node.
  • New approach: Changed to dual-die (same construction as standard Rubin) + HBM4E, ~384 GB HBM4E per GPU (higher than standard Rubin's 288 GB), but total compute and bandwidth only half the original; to approach the original's aggregate compute, NVIDIA plans to assemble "2+2" board-level configs within the Kyber rack to reach four-die equivalent scale.
  • Kyber rack delay: The companion Kyber NVL144 rack is delayed 12+ months to 2028 due to midplane PCB manufacturing difficulties; the 800V DC power scheme is likewise delayed to 2028.

⚠️ Note: NVIDIA has not commented officially on the above design change; some on X argue "the chip count hasn't changed, it's old news reheated." This section is compiled from SemiAnalysis public reports, subject to final NVIDIA disclosure. We have marked "specs pending official confirmation" on the Rubin Ultra preview card.

Industry Interpretation

  1. "Never doubt" moment realized: Rubin's first delivery passed L11 on the first try, dispelling market doubts about "Rubin delay," locking in H2 2026 AI compute supply certainty ahead of time.
  2. Designed for Agentic AI: Rubin targets agentic workflows and ultra-long-context inference, further lowering the training/inference cost curve for trillion-parameter models.
  3. HBM is the full-chain winner: 20.7 TB HBM4 per cabinet is enormous usage; SK hynix, Samsung, Micron, advanced packaging (CoWoS-L), liquid cooling, and power retrofitting all benefit across the chain, while also becoming the biggest cost and capacity constraint.

References


This article continuously tracks Vera Rubin mass-production ramp and HBM4 supply-chain dynamics.

2026 H1 AI Chip Industry Review: Blackwell Ultra, the Domestic Big Three, and the Inference Era

· 11 min read
Industry Research Team

In the first half of 2026, the AI chip industry underwent a historic turning point — the center of gravity shifted from the "training race" to "inference efficiency," domestic chip market share broke 40% for the first time, NVIDIA built higher barriers with Blackwell Ultra, and the inference-specific chip track bloomed in diversity.


I. Compute Doubles Again: NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Launch (June 1)

On June 1, 2026, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang unveiled the new-generation AI chip Blackwell Ultra at Computex 2026 (Taipei), setting a new starting line for the AI infrastructure race over the next two years.

Key Specs

MetricBlackwell UltraB200Improvement
FP8 compute20 petaFLOPS~10 petaFLOPS100%
ArchitectureBlackwell UltraBlackwellUpgrade
Expected delivery2027 Q12026 Q1
PositioningHyperscale training + inferenceTraining + inferenceFlagship

Industry Significance

  1. Direct impact of doubled compute: 20 petaFLOPS FP8 means training time for hundred-billion-parameter models drops sharply; trillion-parameter model training moves from "scientific experiment" to "engineering routine"
  2. System-level balance: Blackwell Ultra is not just a chip but a system-level engineering breakthrough across NVLink, HBM, cooling, and power delivery
  3. Roadmap certainty: The Q1 2027 delivery timeline lets cloud vendors and AI labs plan infrastructure budgets 18 months ahead

Challenges

  • Energy crisis: Doubled performance comes with sharply higher power; datacenter power and cooling design face extreme challenges
  • Accessibility: Top-tier compute goes first to top cloud vendors; how smaller developers and research institutes reach compute at reasonable cost via cloud services
  • Software stack adaptation: New hardware needs matching CUDA versions and framework support; software ecosystem maturity becomes the key bottleneck for compute conversion

II. Domestic AI Chips: The Tipping Point from "Usable" to "Good"

On June 16, 2026, Xinchuang World published "2026 China Domestic AI Chip Vendor Capability Quadrant", clearly outlining the overall domestic landscape.

2.1 Capability Quadrant Ranking

QuadrantRepresentative Vendors
Leader quadrantHuawei Ascend, Hygon, Cambricon, Alibaba T-Head, Moore Threads
Visionary quadrantBaidu Kunlunxin, Biren, Enflame, Iluvatar, HardyVision
Contender quadrantTSINGMICRO, Black Sesame, SemiDrive, Lisuan, Houmo
Challenger quadrantDenglin, Zhicun, VeriSilicon, Rockchip, Intellifusion

2.2 Huawei Ascend: The Anchor of Domestic Compute

Market Position

  • In 2025, Ascend series shipped 812,000 units, capturing 49% of the domestic AI accelerator card share, firmly No.1 domestically
  • Ascend 950PR single-card FP8 compute reaches 1P (PetaFLOPS), FP4 compute reaches 2P
  • Inference performance is about 2.87x that of NVIDIA H20, priced at only 72,000-75,000 RMB, a significant price/performance advantage

Full-Stack Advantage

Huawei's "device-network-cloud-chip" integrated strategy is Ascend's core moat:

  • Chip design: Da Vinci 3.0 architecture iterating continuously
  • OS: HarmonyOS/Euler OS deeply optimized
  • Networking: Euler network protocol stack
  • Cloud: Huawei Cloud ModelArts platform seamlessly integrated

Latest Progress

  • On June 5, 2026, Shenzhen Hetao College, together with HIT (Shenzhen) and Huawei, completed full-parameter post-training of a 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro model on an Ascend 910C cluster
  • This is the first time domestic AI chips completed trillion-parameter-level model training, marking "domestic substitution" moving from inference to training

2.3 Cambricon: The First Profitable Domestic AI Chip Benchmark

Performance Explosion

MetricFull-year 20252026 Q1YoY Growth
Revenue6.497B RMB2.885B RMB+453% / +160%
Net profit2.059B RMB (first annual profit)1.013B RMB— / +185%

Core Product: Siyuan 590

  • In DeepSeek R1 inference scenarios, TPS reaches 942, about 50% higher than H20
  • Years of joint optimization with ByteDance; strongest short-term cloud inference deployment capability
  • Of 2.885B RMB Q1 2026 revenue, Siyuan 590 contributed over 70%

Potential Risks

Absent from the 2nd 2026 "Safe and Reliable Evaluation Results Announcement"; the reason is unclear and will affect its domestic government/enterprise market performance.

2.4 TSINGMICRO: The "Third Route" of Reconfigurable Chips

Technical Route

TSINGMICRO adopts a reconfigurable dataflow architecture同源 with Groq LPU, finding a balance between GPU generality and ASIC extreme efficiency.

MetricTSINGMICRO TX81Traditional GPUAdvantage
Inference costBaseline+100%Reduced 50%
Energy efficiencyBaselineBaseline3x improvement
ArchitectureReconfigurable dataflowSIMT/SIMDBetter for inference

Deployment Progress

  • Cumulative shipments of reconfigurable chips exceed 30 million units
  • Scaled deployment in a dozen-plus thousand-card-scale intelligent computing centers nationwide
  • Has begun A-share IPO tutoring; likely to become the "first reconfigurable chip stock"

III. The Inference Chip Track: Core Signal of the Industry Shift

On June 4, 2026, TrendForce published a deep report "The Era of Inference Economy: The Rules of AI Chips Are Being Rewritten," pointing out that the compute competition center of gravity is shifting from training to inference.

3.1 Why Now?

Cost Structure Changed

  • Training is a one-time cost: Once a model is trained, marginal cost approaches zero
  • Inference is a recurring cost: Every API call, every generated token represents compute consumption and gross-margin pressure
  • Per-unit inference cost and energy efficiency directly affect gross margin and scale-expansion capability

Model Compression Tech Matured

  • 1.58-bit quantization and weight pruning let models maintain inference accuracy at extremely low memory footprint
  • MoE (Mixture of Experts) architecture activates only a few expert sub-networks per inference via "partial wake-up," greatly reducing actual computation
  • The rise of slimmed models provides commercial viability for hard-wired inference chips

3.2 NVIDIA's $20B Bet: Acquiring Groq (December 2025)

On December 24, 2025, NVIDIA acquired Groq's inference technology license and core team for $20 billion, one of NVIDIA's largest M&A/tech acquisitions ever.

Strategic intent:

  1. Fill the inference gap: NVIDIA GPU is unshakable in training, but inference efficiency was never its strongest suit
  2. Counter specialized inference chips: Cerebras, Taalas, SambaNova and other startups are eroding the inference market
  3. Position for Agentic AI: Agentic AI needs extremely low-latency, high-throughput inference

3.3 Taalas HC1: Proof of Concept for Hard-Wired Inference

On February 20, 2026, Canadian AI chip startup Taalas launched inference chip Taalas HC1, directly etching Meta's open-source AI model Llama 3.1 8B into the chip.

Key Metrics

MetricTaalas HC1NVIDIA B200 (throughput optimized)Advantage
Inference rate16,960 tokens/s/userBaseline~4-5x
Cost per million tokens0.75 cents3.79 centsReduced 80%
Power~250W~700WReduced 64%
ProcessTSMC N6TSMC 4nmMore mature
HBM❌ Not used✅ HBM3eLower cost

Technical Principle

Taalas HC1 uses an aggressive Computing-in-Memory (CIM) implementation:

  • Model weights directly固化 in Mask ROM (fully hardware-defined)
  • On-chip SRAM handles dynamic data (KV cache and LoRA fine-tuning weights)
  • Only 2 mask layers need modification to produce a dedicated chip for another AI model; turning an AI model into a physical chip takes only 2 months

Limitations

  • Lack of flexibility: Hard-wiring cannot cope with rapidly iterating model updates
  • Ecosystem barrier: The current cloud market still relies on general-purpose platforms; customers may prefer flexible solutions that upgrade with models
  • NRE cost: High one-time engineering cost, requiring sufficient deployment scale to amortize

3.4 Cerebras: The IPO Path of Wafer-Scale Integration

On May 14, 2026, Cerebras Systems officially listed on NASDAQ, becoming the first wafer-scale AI chip company to go public.

Core Technology: Wafer-Scale Integration (WSI)

  • WSE-3 (third-gen wafer-scale engine): An entire 12-inch wafer as a single chip
  • 44GB on-chip SRAM: No external HBM, eliminating the memory bandwidth bottleneck
  • 21 PB/s bandwidth: On-chip communication bandwidth, thousands of times that of GPUs
  • Partnership with OpenAI: Signed a 3-year, 750MW, $20B+ compute cooperation agreement

IPO Significance

Cerebras's listing marks the maturation of the inference-specific chip track:

  1. Capital markets begin pricing such companies
  2. Proves "non-GPU" technical routes have commercial viability
  3. Provides valuation references for other inference chip startups (Groq, SambaNova, Taalas, etc.)

3.5 Inference Chip Landscape: Multiple Technical Routes Coexist

CompanyTechnical RouteCore AdvantageRepresentative Product
TaalasHard-wired (Mask ROM)Extreme inference efficiency, low costHC1
CerebrasWafer-scale integration (WSI)Ultra-high bandwidth, large-model inferenceWSE-3
GroqSRAM-first architectureDeterministic latency, high throughputLPU (acquired by NVIDIA)
d-MatrixDigital in-memory compute (DIMC)More flexible than hard-wiringCorsair
EtchedHard-wired TransformerWorks for all Transformer modelsSohu
Axelera AIDigital in-memory compute (D-IMC) + RISC-VHigh energy efficiencyMetis AIPU

TrendForce predicts:

  • General-purpose GPUs still dominate training and multi-model environments
  • But in mature, predictable scenarios, general-purpose GPU profit margins will be compressed
  • The industry shifts from general compute monopoly to a dual-track structure of general + specialized coexistence

IV. Overall Domestic AI Chip Landscape in H1 2026

4.1 Industry Enters Scale-Up Phase

Metric20252026 Q1Trend
Domestic AI accelerator shipments1.65M units (41% share)Rising
Total China AI accelerator shipments~4M units
Hygon revenue growthDoubled
Cambricon revenue growth+160%
Moore Threads revenue growthDoubled

Leading vendors collectively entered the revenue realization channel, moving from "technical validation" to "scale commercialization."

Trend 1: Capitalization Wave Reshapes the Landscape

  • Late 2025 to early 2026: Moore Threads, Iluvatar listed on the STAR Market
  • Biren listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange
  • Enflame STAR Market IPO accepted
  • Kunlunxin, T-Head initiated listing processes
  • TSINGMICRO, HardyVision and others advancing IPOs

Capitalization brings dual effects:

  • Positive: Supports R&D and ecosystem building
  • ⚠️ Negative: Valuation bubbles and revenue realization pressure

Trend 2: Capacity Becomes the Biggest Constraint Variable

The contradiction between explosive domestic AI chip demand and limited advanced-process capacity is sharpening:

VendorAdvanced-process capacity needActually obtained
Huawei Ascend15K wafers/month (7nm-class)Priority guaranteed
SMIC total capacity~20K wafers/month (7nm-class)
Other vendors~5K wafers/month combinedExtremely tight

Whether stable wafer capacity can be secured directly determines vendor survival. Cambricon's 75.4% inventory-to-revenue ratio is essentially a lock on capacity.

Trend 3: Competition Shifts from "Usable" to "Good"

Early competition focused on "can it run the model"; now it's about "runtime efficiency, deployment cost":

Dimension"Usable" era"Good" era
Hardware performanceCan it run the modelRuntime efficiency, energy efficiency
Software stackBasic adaptationMaturity, framework breadth
EcosystemExistenceDeveloper community activity
Deployment costInsensitiveCore competitive factor

V. H2 2026 Outlook

5.1 Upcoming Key Events

TimeEventImpact
2026 Q3NVIDIA Rubin architecture details revealedNext-gen flagship specs unveiled
2026 Q3Huawei Ascend 950PR/950DT formally launchedNew benchmark for domestic inference chips
2026 Q4AMD MI350X scaled deliveryNVIDIA Blackwell competitor
2026 Q4Cambricon Siyuan 690 launch (est.)New-gen training chip
2027 Q1NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra deliveryNew compute benchmark lands

5.2 Key Competitive Factors Over the Next Three Years

  1. Wafer capacity access: Advanced-process capacity is a scarce resource; vendors tied to SMIC and TSMC have inherent advantages
  2. Capital operation efficiency: The IPO window is limited; raising enough capital on the market determines R&D sustainability
  3. Software ecosystem depth: Hardware performance is only the entry ticket; software stack maturity, framework adaptation breadth, and developer community activity are the core moat

VI. Conclusion: A Diverse Ecosystem Will Eventually Form

In H1 2026, the AI chip industry is undergoing a historic transition from "one dominant player" to "pluralistic coexistence."

  • NVIDIA builds higher training barriers with Blackwell Ultra while laying out inference efficiency via the Groq acquisition
  • Huawei Ascend holds the domestic compute baseline with full-stack capability; 950PR begins to surpass H20 in inference
  • Cambricon proves the commercial viability of domestic AI chips by turning profitable first; Siyuan 590 surpasses international rivals in specific scenarios
  • Cerebras, Taalas and other inference-specific chip companies opened a "non-GPU" third route
  • TSINGMICRO's reconfigurable architecture provides a diversified technical route choice for China's AI chips

Over the next three years, the domestic AI chip endgame will form a pluralistic ecosystem where GPU, ASIC, and reconfigurable computing three technical routes coexist, with cloud and edge developing in coordination. "Domestic substitution" is no longer a slogan, but an industrial reality happening now.


Data sources:

  • Xinchuang World "2026 China Domestic AI Chip Vendor Capability Quadrant" (2026-06-16)
  • TrendForce "The Era of Inference Economy: The Rules of AI Chips Are Being Rewritten" (2026-06-04)
  • RayByte "Compute Doubles! NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Chip Launched" (2026-06-02)
  • Official financial reports and announcements of each company

Related reading:


June 2026 AI Chip Major Events Roundup: Ascend 910C Trains Trillion-Parameter Model, OpenAI Custom Chip, RTX Spark Launch

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

June 2026 saw multiple milestone events in the AI chip field, marking acceleration of two major trends: "domestic substitution" and "de-NVIDIA-ization."

1. Huawei Ascend 910C Completes 1.6-Trillion-Parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro Training (2026-06-05)

Event Overview

June 5, 2026, Shenzhen Hetao College, together with Harbin Institute of Technology (Shenzhen), Shenzhen Big Data Research Institute, Huawei, and other teams, relied on an Ascend 910C domestic AI compute cluster to successfully complete full-parameter post-training of the 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro large model.

Technical Significance

MetricValue
Model parameters1.6 trillion
Training chipAscend 910C cluster
Training typeFull Parameter Post-Training
SignificanceFirst time domestic AI chips complete trillion-parameter-level model training

Industry Impact

  1. Breaks technology blockade: Proves domestic AI chips can train trillion-parameter models
  2. Accelerates "farewell to NVIDIA": DeepSeek fully switches to Huawei Ascend, reducing dependence on H100
  3. Domestic substitution inflection point: From "inference substitution" to "training substitution"

2. OpenAI Launches First Custom AI Inference Chip Jalapeño (2026-06-24)

Event Overview

June 24, 2026, OpenAI and Broadcom jointly launched the first custom AI inference chip Jalapeño, with a design cycle of only 9 months (industry average 18 months), using TSMC 3nm process.

Key Metrics

MetricJalapeñoComparison (Blackwell)
ProcessTSMC 3nmTSMC 4nm
ArchitectureSystolic ArrayBlackwell GPU
Design cycle9 months~18 months
Inference cost-50%Baseline
AI-assisted design✅ First❌ No
DeploymentEnd of 2026Shipped

Strategic Significance

  1. First AI chip with AI-assisted design: OpenAI used models like GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark to assist architecture exploration
  2. Accelerates "de-NVIDIA-ization": Tech giants (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, OpenAI) collectively develop custom chips
  3. Inference cost revolution: For OpenAI processing hundreds of millions of API calls daily, a 50% cost reduction is significant

3. NVIDIA Launches RTX Spark AI PC Superchip at Computex 2026 (2026-06-01)

Event Overview

June 1, 2026, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang launched the RTX Spark AI PC superchip at Computex 2026 / GTC Taipei, in collaboration with MediaTek, using an Arm CPU + Blackwell GPU unified-memory architecture.

Key Metrics

MetricRTX Spark
CPUUp to 20-core Arm (with MediaTek)
GPU6,144 CUDA cores (Blackwell)
Unified memory128GB LPDDR5X (shared CPU+GPU)
Memory bandwidth300 GB/s
AI compute~1 PFLOPS (est.)
Model capacityCan run 120B-parameter models
ContextUp to 1 million tokens
TDP~100W (est.)
AvailabilityFall 2026

Industry Impact

  1. NVIDIA enters PC chip market: Challenges Intel's dominance in personal computers
  2. New AI PC standard: Run 120B-parameter models locally, 1M-token context
  3. Windows transforms into AI Agent platform: Deep collaboration with Microsoft OpenShell framework

4. MIIT Publishes "2026 AI Chip Industry Development White Paper" (2026-06-09)

Event Overview

June 9, 2026, China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published the "2026 AI Chip Industry Development White Paper," predicting the domestic AI chip market will exceed 200 billion RMB in 2026.

Key Predictions

Metric2026 Prediction
Market sizeExceed 200 billion RMB
Domestic chip share>50% (41% in 2025)
Edge inference chipsSignificant progress
Shipment growthMore than double (vs 2025)

Industry Significance

  1. Domestic AI chip capitalization accelerates: Cambricon, Enflame, Moore Threads, etc. accelerate IPOs
  2. Edge inference becomes the breakthrough: Easier to achieve domestic substitution than training chips
  3. Policy dividend continues: Domestic substitution upgraded from "market behavior" to "national strategy"

5. ByteDance in Talks to Procure 50K Iluvatar Inference Chips (2026-06-17)

Event Overview

June 17, 2026, Reuters reported that ByteDance is in talks with Shanghai AI chip firm Iluvatar to procure at least 50,000 AI chips, mainly for inference tasks.

Deal Details

ItemContent
BuyerByteDance
SupplierIluvatar
Chip modelZhiKai series (inference GPU)
QuantityAt least 50,000
UseInference workloads
Training chipTianTai series

Industry Significance

  1. Domestic GPU top player "adds a member": Iluvatar enters a top internet company's supply chain for the first time
  2. ByteDance 2026 capex raised over 200B RMB: Mainly for AI compute and datacenters
  3. "Domestic substitution" extends from government/SOEs to private tech giants

Trend 1: "Domestic Substitution" Moves from Inference to Training

  • Ascend 910C completes 1.6-trillion-parameter model training → Proves domestic chips have training capability
  • DeepSeek fully switches to Ascend → Leading AI companies first to "farewell to NVIDIA"
  • ByteDance procures Iluvatar → Private tech giants follow

Trend 2: "De-NVIDIA-ization" from Slogan to Action

  • OpenAI Jalapeño → First custom chip, inference cost -50%
  • Google TPU, Amazon Trainium, Microsoft Maia → Continuous iteration
  • Meta MTIA, Apple M5 Ultra → Increased investment

Trend 3: AI PC and Edge Inference Become New Battlefield

  • NVIDIA RTX Spark → New AI PC standard, launches Fall 2026
  • Edge inference chip localization accelerates → Key mention in MIIT white paper
  • "Local trillion-parameter model execution" → New consumer market selling point

Looking Ahead (2026 H2)

  1. Ascend 950DT full scale-up (2026 Q4) → Huawei's latest-gen training chip
  2. NVIDIA Rubin R200 shipment (2026 H2) → Next-gen flagship
  3. AMD MI400 Helios rack (2026 H2) → Targets NVIDIA GB200
  4. OpenAI Jalapeño deployment (end of 2026) → Gigawatt-scale datacenters
  5. Domestic AI chip shipments more than double → CITIC Securities prediction

References


This article is continuously updated. Please provide the latest developments.

AMD MI455X Stuns at CES 2026: AI Chip Performance Up 1000x in 4 Years

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

On January 5, 2026, on the opening day of CES 2026 (Consumer Electronics Show), AMD Chair and CEO Dr. Lisa Su unveiled in her keynote: the Instinct MI400 series AI accelerators.

The most eye-catching is MI455X — AMD's most powerful AI accelerator ever, using a 2nm + 3nm hybrid process, 432GB HBM4, with FP4 compute up to 40 PFLOPS (20 PFLOPS FP8).

Key highlights

  • MI455X: FP4 40 PFLOPS, FP8 20 PFLOPS, 10× over MI355X
  • MI450: cost-performance version, FP4 28 PFLOPS, 288GB HBM4
  • Process upgrade: world's first AI chip with 2nm + 3nm hybrid process (GCD on 2nm, MCD on 3nm)
  • Memory upgrade: from MI350X's 288GB HBM3e to 432GB HBM4 (MI455X)
  • Bandwidth upgrade: from MI350X's 8 TB/s to 19.6 TB/s (2.45×)
  • Architecture upgrade: from CDNA 4 to CDNA 5
  • Mass production: MI455X Q4 2026, MI450 Q3 2026

Full MI400 series specs

📌 Important correction (2026-06-16): After official spec verification, MI455X memory is 432GB HBM4 (not the earlier reported 288GB), and FP4 compute is 40 PFLOPS. Corrected herein.

ModelPositioningMemoryFP4 computeFP8 computeTDP (est.)
MI455XFlagship training+inference432GB HBM440 PFLOPS20 PFLOPS~1,000W
MI450Cost-performance training288GB HBM428 PFLOPS14 PFLOPS~800W
MI440XEnterprise inference216GB HBM425 PFLOPS12.5 PFLOPS~600W
MI430XHPC / scientific computing192GB HBM420 PFLOPS10 PFLOPS~500W
MI400XGeneral / edge inference128GB HBM412 PFLOPS6 PFLOPS~400W

Key upgrades (vs MI350 series):

  • Memory: HBM3e → HBM4, capacity +50% (432GB vs 288GB)
  • Bandwidth: 19.6 TB/s (vs MI350's 8 TB/s, +2.45×)
  • Compute: FP4 40 PFLOPS (vs MI355X's 20 PFLOPS, +)
  • Process: 2nm + 3nm hybrid (GCD on 2nm, MCD on 3nm)
  • Architecture: CDNA 5 (vs MI350's CDNA 4)

Performance vs. MI355X

MetricMI355X (2025)MI455X (2026)Improvement
FP4 compute20 PFLOPS40 PFLOPS
FP8 compute10 PFLOPS20 PFLOPS
Memory capacity288GB HBM3e432GB HBM41.5×
Memory bandwidth8 TB/s19.6 TB/s2.45×
ProcessTSMC 3nm2nm + 3nm hybridNew gen
ArchitectureCDNA 4CDNA 5New gen
TDP800-1000W~1,000WFlat

Lisa Su at CES 2026:

"Four years ago, MI250's AI performance was X. Today, MI455X's performance is 1000× that. That's the pace of AI chip progress."

CDNA 5 architecture in detail

The MI400 series adopts the CDNA 5 architecture (MI355X uses CDNA 4):

Key upgrades

  1. Matrix Core upgrade: FP8/INT8/FP16 support, sparsity acceleration
  2. HBM4 controller: 12-layer HBM4 (vs HBM3e's 8 layers)
  3. Infinity Fabric 4.0: 50% higher die-to-die / die-to-GPU bandwidth
  4. Native sparsity support: MoE Expert-Parallel optimization
  5. Long-context optimization: 1M+ token KV Cache acceleration

vs. NVIDIA Blackwell / Rubin

MetricAMD MI455XNVIDIA B200NVIDIA Rubin R200 (2026 Q4)
FP4 compute40 PFLOPS20 PFLOPS (45 sparse)~40 PFLOPS (est.)
FP8 compute20 PFLOPS10 PFLOPS (22.5 sparse)~20 PFLOPS (est.)
Memory432GB HBM4192GB HBM3e288GB HBM4
Memory bandwidth19.6 TB/s8 TB/s13 TB/s
TDP~1,000W700-1000W~1,000W
Process2nm + 3nm hybridTSMC 4npTSMC 3nm
Mass production2026 Q42024 Q42026 Q4
Software ecosystemROCmCUDACUDA
StrengthMemory capacity, open ecosystemMost mature ecosystemNext-gen architecture
WeaknessSoftware ecosystem gapSmaller memoryNot yet launched

Conclusion: MI455X leads B200 in FP4/FP8 compute and memory capacity/bandwidth, but software ecosystem remains a weak point. Versus Rubin R200, paper specs are close, but Rubin has the CUDA ecosystem moat.

Production timeline

TimeEvent
June 12, 2025MI400 series specs first announced at Advancing AI
January 5, 2026MI455X/MI450/MI440X formally launched at CES 2026
2026 Q3MI450 sampling begins
2026 Q4MI455X mass production
2026 Q4MI440X (enterprise inference) launched
2027 Q1MI430X/MI400X (HPC/edge inference) launched
2027MI500 series (next gen)

AMD AI chip roadmap (2025-2027)

TimeProductProcessNotes
Q4 2024MI325XTSMC 5nmHBM3e upgraded
Q3 2025MI355X (MI350 series)TSMC 3nmCDNA 4, 288GB HBM3e
Q4 2026MI455X (MI400 series)2nm + 3nm hybridCDNA 5, 432GB HBM4
Q1 2027MI500 seriesTSMC 2nm (est.)Next gen, further gains

Software ecosystem: ROCm's progress and challenges

✅ Progress

  • PyTorch 2.5+: native MI300X/MI455X support
  • Hugging Face Transformers: official AMD GPU support
  • vLLM 0.8+: MI300X inference support (experimental)
  • JAX: AMD adapting (vs Google TPU)

⚠️ Challenges

  • Framework optimization: PyTorch on AMD GPUs still below NVIDIA
  • Operator coverage: some niche operators need hand-written HIP
  • Multi-card communication: RCCL (vs NCCL) still lags
  • Developer ecosystem: tutorials, cases, community activity far below NVIDIA

Competitive comparison

VendorProductFP4 computeMemoryMass productionStrengthWeakness
AMDMI455X40 PFLOPS432GB HBM42026 Q4Largest memory, open ecosystemSoftware gap
NVIDIAB20020 PFLOPS192GB HBM3e2024 Q4Most mature ecosystemSmaller memory
NVIDIARubin R200~40 PFLOPS288GB HBM42026 Q4Next-gen architecture, CUDAExpensive
HuaweiAscend 910C~1.6 PFLOPS64GB HBM2026 Q2China-localizedExport-controlled
GoogleTPU 8t~9.2 PFLOPS~256GB HBM3eLate 2027Gemini-integratedGoogle Cloud only

Industry impact

1. Impact on NVIDIA

On paper, AMD MI455X has already caught up to B200 (FP4 40 PFLOPS vs 20 PFLOPS), even leading substantially in memory capacity (432GB vs 192GB).

But:

  • NVIDIA has the CUDA ecosystem moat
  • NVIDIA has the Vera Rubin platform (full solution, 2026 Q4)
  • AMD only sells cards/nodes, NVIDIA sells AI factories
  • MI455X mass production (2026 Q4) coincides with Rubin R200 — head-on competition

2. Pressure on domestic chips

MI455X's launch means: mainstream international AI chips enter the 2nm + HBM4 era in 2026.

Domestic chips (Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, MetaX, etc.) need to:

  • Catch up to 5nm + HBM3e by 2026-2027
  • Otherwise the gap widens from "1 generation" to "2 generations"

3. Significance for cloud providers

MI455X gives cloud providers a second option beyond NVIDIA:

  • Microsoft Azure: already deployed MI355X, may follow with MI455X
  • Google Cloud: in-house TPU, won't use AMD
  • Amazon AWS: in-house Trainium/Inferentia, won't use AMD
  • Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud: may procure MI455X as NVIDIA alternative

References


This article is compiled from AMD CES 2026 official announcements, Baidu Baike, and Zhihu on-site reports; specs verified against official sources. Updated 2026-06-16: corrected MI455X memory (288GB → 432GB) and compute (FP8 6 PFLOPS → FP4 40 PFLOPS).

Google TPU 8i/8t Officially Launched: Training and Inference Split for the First Time, 2nm Process Powers the Agentic Era

· 7 min read
Industry Research Team

On April 22, 2026, at Google Cloud Next '26 in Las Vegas, Google officially launched its 8th-generation Tensor Processing Unit (TPU). For the first time in Google's history, it split AI training and inference onto two independent chips:

  • TPU 8t: designed for model training
  • TPU 8i: focused on high-concurrency inference

This launch introduces no new physical concept, but focuses on solving the core pain points of AI data centers: ten-thousand-card cluster scaling efficiency, Agentic AI workload optimization, and performance per watt.

TPU 8i (inference-specific): eliminating the "waiting room effect"

TPU 8i is the first inference-specific chip co-designed by Google and MediaTek, aimed at eliminating the "waiting room effect" — where user requests are intentionally queued or delayed to maximize hardware utilization.

TPU 8i core specs (estimated)

ParameterTPU 8iTPU v7 Ironwood
PositioningInference-specificMostly inference
ProcessTSMC 2nm
Die designDual compute die (est.)
Memory8× HBM3e 12-layer (~192GB est.)8× HBM3 (192GB)
Memory bandwidth~7 TB/s (est.)7,380 GB/s
FP8 compute~4,614 TFLOPS (est.)4,614 TFLOPS
TDP (per chip)1,300 W1,000 W
InterconnectICI 3D TorusICI 3D Torus
Integrated CPUArm Axion (64 cores)None
CoolingAir or liquid4th-gen liquid
Announced2026-04-222025-08-25
Mass productionEnd of 20272026

Key features:

  • High-concurrency inference optimization: built for Agentic AI, supports inference chains of thousands of steps
  • Arm Axion CPU integration: 64-core Neoverse V2, host CPU + data preprocessing synergy
  • Low latency: eliminates the "waiting room effect", extremely low TTFT (time to first token)
  • 117% better performance per watt: vs Ironwood (at equal price)

TPU 8t (training-specific): the "engine" of Gemini 3/4

TPU 8t is designed for training Google's frontier models like Gemini 3 / Gemini 4, continuing Google's long-term partnership with Broadcom.

TPU 8t core specs

ParameterTPU 8tTPU v7 IronwoodImprovement
PositioningTraining-specificMostly inferenceForm-factor split
ProcessTSMC 2nmNew gen
Die designDual compute dieArchitecture upgrade
MemoryHBM3e 12-layer (~256GB per chip est.)8× HBM3 (192GB)Upgrade
Memory bandwidth~7 TB/s (per chip est.)7,380 GB/sFlat
Pod chip count9,600 chips9,216+4%
Pod total HBM2 PBFar exceeds
Pod FP4 compute121 EFLOPS~42 EFLOPS (est.)~3×
Integrated CPUArm Axion (64 cores)NoneNew
TDP (per chip)1,300 W1,000 W+30%
Mass productionEnd of 20272026

Key features:

  • Native MoE training support: Expert-Parallel optimization (DeepSeek / Mixtral style)
  • Long-context training: 1M+ token context training optimization
  • RLHF / post-training: native Online RL (DPO/PPO/GRPO) optimization
  • Arm Axion CPU synergy: data preprocessing / weight init offloaded to CPU
  • SparseCore acceleration: MoE routing and recommendation systems

Strategic significance of the 8th-generation TPU

1. Training and inference split for the first time

Previously, Google's TPU design philosophy was "one architecture for both training and inference" (e.g., TPU v5p, v6e). But the arrival of the Agentic AI era changed that:

  • Training workloads: large-scale matrix multiply, long-sequence backpropagation, sparse MoE
  • Inference workloads: high concurrency, low latency, KV Cache-intensive, dynamic batching

These two workloads impose very different demands on chip architecture. After the split:

  • TPU 8t can focus on optimizing compute density and memory capacity
  • TPU 8i can focus on optimizing inference throughput and performance per watt

2. Dual-track partnership with Broadcom and MediaTek

  • Broadcom: continues designing TPU 8t (training), extending the long-term partnership since TPU v1
  • MediaTek: first-time collaboration designing TPU 8i (inference), bringing mobile-chip low-power design expertise

This "dual-track" strategy lets Google:

  • Pursue peak performance on training chips (combined with Broadcom's high-end ASIC experience)
  • Pursue peak energy efficiency on inference chips (combined with MediaTek's mobile-chip experience)

3. Versus NVIDIA Vera Rubin

ComparisonGoogle TPU 8t + 8iNVIDIA Vera Rubin
StrategyTraining/inference splitUnified architecture (GPU+CPU)
ProcessTSMC 2nmTSMC 3nm (est.)
EcosystemGoogle Cloud onlyGlobally available
SoftwareJAX / PyTorch-XLACUDA / PyTorch
Mass productionEnd of 2027Fall 2026
StrengthDeep Gemini integrationMost mature ecosystem

Deep technical analysis

TSMC 2nm: why 2nm?

Google is the first vendor to adopt TSMC 2nm on an AI accelerator (NVIDIA Rubin uses 3nm). 2nm (N2) vs 3nm (N3E):

  • Transistor density: ~15-20% higher
  • Power reduction: ~25-30% (at equal performance)
  • Performance gain: ~10-15% (at equal power)

For TPU 8t/8i, which already hit 1,300W, 2nm is mandatory — otherwise 4nm/3nm couldn't integrate dual compute dies and 8× HBM3e within reasonable power.

Arm Axion CPU: Google's in-house CPU enters the TPU node for the first time

Previously, TPU nodes used Intel Xeon or AMD EPYC as host CPUs. TPU 8t/8i integrate Google's in-house Arm Axion CPU (64-core Neoverse V2) for the first time:

Significance:

  1. Data preprocessing offload: tokenization, data augmentation can run entirely on Axion, freeing TPU compute
  2. Weight initialization: large-model training weight init on CPU, accelerating training startup
  3. Inference scheduling: Axion handles request scheduling and load balancing for multi-model inference

This marks the TPU node's evolution toward a "SuperNode": no longer a pure accelerator, but a TPU + Axion CPU co-design system, comparable to NVIDIA's Vera CPU.

4th-gen liquid cooling: the 1,300W thermal challenge

TPU 8t/8i TDP reaches 1,300W (30% over Ironwood's 1,000W), posing a huge data-center cooling challenge.

Google adopts a 4th-gen liquid cooling solution:

  • Cold-plate liquid cooling: directly cools GPU die and HBM
  • Immersion cooling: optional (ultra-high-density deployment)
  • Smart thermal control: dynamically adjusts pump speed and fan RPM by workload

Production timeline and use cases

TimeEvent
2026-04-22Cloud Next '26 official announcement
H2 2026Internal testing (Google DeepMind first)
End of 2027Mass production, Google Cloud availability
2028Next-gen TPU (possibly TPU 9)

Target use cases:

  • Frontier model training (Gemini 3/4, external customers)
  • MoE large-model inference (high concurrency, low latency)
  • Multimodal AI (ViT + LLM simultaneous inference)
  • Agentic AI (Agentic AI workloads)

Competitive comparison

VendorProductProcessTDPMass production
GoogleTPU 8i (inference)TSMC 2nm1,300WEnd of 2027
GoogleTPU 8t (training)TSMC 2nm1,300WEnd of 2027
NVIDIARubin GPUTSMC 3nm (est.)~1,000WFall 2026
NVIDIAVera CPUTSMC 3nm (est.)~500WFall 2026
AMDMI455X (MI400)TSMC 3nm (est.)~700W2026
HuaweiAscend 950PR~500WQ1 2026

Industry impact

  1. AI chips enter the 2nm era: Google leads with TSMC 2nm; NVIDIA and AMD will follow
  2. Training/inference split becomes a new trend: other vendors (NVIDIA, AMD) may follow suit
  3. In-house CPUs become standard: Google (Axion), NVIDIA (Vera), Huawei (Kunpeng) all do CPU+accelerator co-design
  4. Liquid cooling becomes inevitable: 1,300W TDP means air cooling can no longer suffice

References


This article is compiled from Google's official announcements and public sources; some specs are estimates, subject to final official release.

Milestone! Huawei Ascend 910C Completes Full-Parameter Training of a 1.6-Trillion-Parameter Model

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

On June 5, 2026, Shenzhen announced a major piece of news: Shenzhen Hetao College, together with HIT (Shenzhen) and Huawei, used 1,000 Huawei Ascend 910C chips to successfully complete full-parameter post-training of the 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro large model.

This was no tentative attempt, but a milestone technological breakthrough. It proved with irrefutable engineering results that: domestic AI chips are fully capable of supporting world-class, super-large-parameter model training.

Why this matters

The two thresholds of AI chips: "inference" and "training"

  • Inference: using an existing model to chat, write copy. Domestic chips could already do this
  • Training: adjusting model parameters to learn new capabilities. Full-parameter training adjusts all 1.6 trillion parameters at once — maximum difficulty

Previously, full-parameter training of trillion-scale models was monopolized by NVIDIA H100/H200. Domestic chips could only do inference, not large-scale training.

The significance of this breakthrough: domestic compute leapt from "usable" to "useful", from "inference" to "training".

Technical details

Training configuration

ItemParameter
ChipsHuawei Ascend 910C × 1,000
ModelDeepSeek-V4-Pro
Parameters1.6 trillion (1600B)
Training typeFull-parameter post-training
FrameworkMindSpore + torch_npu
CompletedAnnounced June 5, 2026

Performance metrics

MetricValueAssessment
Compute utilization>30%Industrial grade (top overseas chips ~40%)
Key training operator efficiency+14%vs previous-gen 910B
Communication bandwidth utilization>60% (est.)MoE All-to-All communication
Stability1,000 cards trained continuously with no failuresCluster stability met standard

💡 About 30% compute utilization: many feel 30% is low, but in large-model training this is already a very respectable industrial-grade level. Even with the most advanced overseas chips, many teams' actual utilization is around 40%.

Ascend 910C detailed specs

Ascend 910C is Huawei's AI training/inference chip announced at the Huawei Analyst Conference (April 24, 2024), with a theoretical peak of 800 TFLOPS (BF16), in the same class as NVIDIA H100.

ParameterAscend 910CAscend 910BNVIDIA H100
ArchitectureAscend 910CAscend 910BHopper
ProcessTSMC 7nm (est.)TSMC 7nmTSMC 4NP
BF16 compute800 TFLOPS256 TFLOPS989 TFLOPS (sparse)
Memory64GB HBM (est.)64GB HBM2e (B1/B2)80GB HBM3
Memory bandwidth~2TB/s (est.)600 GB/s (B1/B2)3.35 TB/s
TDP~400W (est.)300-400W700W
Mass productionApril 2026 (full production)Nov 2022Mar 2022

Key upgrades:

  • 3× compute: from 910B's 256 TFLOPS to 800 TFLOPS
  • Mature software ecosystem: torch_npu adapts PyTorch, MindSpore framework mature
  • Cluster stability: 1,000 cards trained continuously with no failures (the biggest breakthrough)

Technical challenges and solutions

Challenge 1: Memory demand of trillion-scale models

A 1.6-trillion-parameter model needs, just for model parameters:

  • FP16: 1.6T × 2 bytes = 3.2 TB
  • Plus gradients and optimizer states: at least 10 TB of memory

Huawei's solution:

  • Model Parallel: distribute the model across 1,000 910C chips
  • ZeRO optimizer: optimize memory footprint
  • Gradient accumulation: update parameters in stages

Challenge 2: Communication efficiency of thousand-card clusters

Training with 1,000 chips, inter-chip communication becomes the bottleneck. MoE models need All-to-All communication (each expert may need to communicate with all others).

Huawei's solution:

  • HCCS (Huawei Collective Communication Scheduler): in-house high-speed interconnect protocol
  • Layered communication: intra-node NVLink + inter-node HCCS
  • Communication-compute overlap: data transfer concurrent with computation

Challenge 3: Training stability

Trillion-scale model training takes weeks or months; any single card failure can interrupt the entire training.

Huawei's solution:

  • Fault detection and auto-recovery: real-time monitoring of card status, auto-restart and recovery on failure
  • Checkpoint optimization: high-frequency training-state saves (every N steps)
  • Ascend cluster management software: designed specifically for enterprise training

Competitive comparison

VendorChip1.6T-param trainingEcosystem maturityAvailability
HuaweiAscend 910CCompleted⭐⭐⭐ (improving)China-localized
NVIDIAH100/H200✅ Industry standard⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Global (export-controlled)
AMDMI300X✅ Feasible⭐⭐⭐⭐Global
GoogleTPU v5p/8t✅ JAX-native⭐⭐⭐⭐Google Cloud

Conclusion: Ascend 910C has caught up to H100 in hardware performance, still lags in software ecosystem, but this training success proves engineering feasibility.

Industry impact

1. The "Zunyi Conference" of domestic compute

This breakthrough is called the "Zunyi Conference" of domestic compute — from passive defense to strategic counteroffensive.

Specific impact:

  • Breaks the bias that "domestic chips can only do inference"
  • Proves domestic chips can train frontier models
  • Provides compute foundation for domestic large models (e.g., DeepSeek-V4, ERNIE 5.0)

2. Impact on NVIDIA

Huawei Ascend 910C completing trillion-scale training means China's AI industry is less dependent on NVIDIA.

ScenarioBeforeNow
InferenceDomestic chips usableDomestic chips useful
TrainingMust use H100/H200Can use 910C
Large-scale trainingMust use H100 clustersCan use 910C clusters

3. Boost to the domestic chip industry

This breakthrough will drive the entire domestic AI chip supply chain:

  • Chip design: Cambricon, MetaX, Moore Threads accelerate iteration
  • Wafer manufacturing: SMIC, Hua Hong get more orders
  • Packaging/test: JCET, TFME benefit

Huawei Ascend roadmap (2025-2028)

TimeChipPositioning
Q1 2025Ascend 910CFlagship training/inference (mass-produced)
Q1 2026Ascend 950PRInference-optimized (~500 TFLOPS BF16)
Q4 2026Ascend 950DTData-center training
Q4 2027Ascend 960Next-gen flagship
Q4 2028Ascend 970Next-next-gen

Training lessons shared

The Shenzhen Hetao College team accumulated valuable experience:

✅ Successes

  1. Progressive training: start from small models (7B), gradually scale to 1.6T
  2. Mixed-precision training: BF16 main + FP32 gradient accumulation
  3. Communication optimization: All-to-All overlap with computation
  4. Fault recovery: save checkpoint every 1,000 steps

⚠️ Challenges encountered

  1. Memory fragmentation: severe fragmentation over long training, needs periodic cleanup
  2. Communication bottleneck: MoE All-to-All takes 30%+ of training time
  3. Software bugs: torch_npu occasional memory leak, needs training process restart

References


This article is compiled from public reports. Salute to the teams at Shenzhen Hetao College, HIT (Shenzhen), and Huawei — you proved the feasibility of China's AI compute with engineering results.