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Huawei AI chips and Ascend series

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Hot Chips 2026 Full Recap: Rubin, MI455X, Crescent Island Together as AI Compute Delivery Enters the "System-Level" Era

· 7 min read
Industry Research Team

August 23-25, 2026, the 38th Hot Chips (HC38) was held at Stanford's Memorial Auditorium. As the bellwether of global high-performance chip architecture, this conference landed exactly at the most intense moment of the AI compute arms race — the official agenda had 48 entries, including 7 AI accelerators, 6 memory tutorials, 6 CPUs, and 4 each of GPUs and networking. Putting the vendor talks together, one consensus emerged: the unit of AI compute competition has shifted from "single chip" to "whole rack / entire system."


1. Overview: Three Days of Agenda, Almost a Preview of the 2027 AI Rack Market

Monday (8/24) afternoon's GPU session was the focus, with four talks nearly colliding as the 2027 AI rack market:

  • NVIDIA Rubin GPU ("Driving the Era of Agentic AI"): First chiplet-architecture GPU, 288GB HBM4, ~50 PFLOPS FP4, paired with 88-core Arm-architecture Vera CPU into NVL72 / NVL144 racks, mass production in H2 2026.
  • AMD Instinct MI400 (two talks: architecture + system architecture): Told the "rack-scale" story thoroughly.
  • Intel Crescent Island: A 350W air-cooled card designed for Agentic AI inference.

Tuesday (8/25) afternoon's AI session was almost a parade of "hyperscalers de-NVIDIA-izing": Google's 8th-gen TPU, OpenAI's first custom chip, Microsoft Maia 200, Meta MTIA, and Cerebras wafer-scale rack all appeared together.

Every vendor on stage used the term "Agentic AI" within the first two PPT slides — not a coincidence, but the collective shift in 2026 AI workload design goals.


2. NVIDIA Rubin: One Rack Is a Supercomputer

What NVIDIA featured at Hot Chips was not a single GPU but the Vera Rubin NVL72 whole cabinet — 72 Rubin GPUs + 36 Vera CPUs, 18 compute trays + 9 NVLink switch trays, about 1.3 million components, nearly 1,300 chips, weighing about 4,000 pounds (~1.8 tons).

The single Rubin GPU specs are equally stunning:

MetricRubin GPUvs Blackwell
Transistors336 billion (TSMC 3nm dual-die)208 billion (+61.5%)
Memory288GB HBM4
Bandwidth22 TB/s2.8× Blackwell
NVFP4 inference50 PFLOPS5× GB200
Training compute35 PFLOPS3.5×

The most disruptive design is in the compute tray: no cables, no hoses, no fans, all interconnected via the PCB backplane. NVIDIA says assembly time dropped from nearly 2 hours to 5 minutes (20× faster) while improving maintainability.

This time NVIDIA is selling not FLOPS but tokens per megawatt. Citing a SemiAnalysis benchmark based on DeepSeek-v4-PRO (140K+ context, AgentX workload), it claims: versus GB300 NVL72, Vera Rubin NVL72 delivers 10× to up to 30× tokens/MW as interaction intensity rises. A single cabinet provides 3.6 EFLOPS inference compute, whole-cabinet power 190-230kW; long-term capacity target is 1,000 NVL72 cabinets per day.


3. AMD MI455X + Helios: Bigger Memory and Open Interconnect

AMD's answer is the MI455X + Helios rack going head-to-head with NVIDIA. MI455X uses CDNA 5 architecture, 8 N2-process accelerator dies + N3P-process interconnect die, 256 workgroup processors, 192MB global L2.

MetricMI455Xvs Rubin
Memory432GB HBM4 (12-layer stack)50% higher than Rubin's 288GB
Bandwidth23.3 TB/sSlightly ahead
MXFP4 compute40.26 PFLOPS
System (Helios 72 cards)2.9 ExaFLOPS FP4 inference
Price~$5.25M per cabinet

At the system level, AMD bets on the UALoE (Ultra Accelerator Link over Ethernet) open standard: each GPU provides 3.6 TB/s bidirectional interconnect bandwidth; two 512-port 200G UALoE switch chips in the switch tray total 10.8 TB/s — opening the interconnect protocol to the whole industry while targeting NVLink.

Production cadence: AMD plans to deliver engineering samples and small-batch systems in H2 2026, with large-scale ramp in Q2 2027. Earlier rumors of Helios delay due to cooling issues were not confirmed by AMD.


4. Intel Crescent Island: The Air-Cooled, Large-Memory "Cost-Effective Oddball"

Intel offers a completely different path: Crescent Island — a 350W, air-cooled, standard-PCIe-slot inference GPU designed for Agentic AI, with the key metric being tokens per watt.

MetricCrescent IslandNote
ArchitectureXe3P, 32 Xe cores, 32MB unified L2Disclosed at Hot Chips
MemoryIntel branded card 160GB / ODM up to 480GB LPDDR5XMore than Rubin's 288GB HBM4
Form factor350W air-cooled PCIePlugs into standard racks, no liquid-cooling retrofit
RASECC, dynamic page offline, hard-package repair, PCIe advanced error reportingAddresses "silent data corruption"

Intel's logic is clear: inference scenarios need far more memory capacity than bandwidth; using low-cost LPDDR5X for capacity and air cooling to skip liquid-cooling infrastructure drives down per-token cost. Combined with Diamond Rapids Xeon (256 performance cores, 1.28GB cache, 128 PCIe Gen6 lanes), Intel tries to surround from edge to datacenter with "CPU + inference GPU + open software stack."


5. Custom ASIC Parade: Google, OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta Together

Tuesday afternoon's AI session was the most historic of the conference — a parade of "hyperscalers de-NVIDIA-izing":

ChipVendor / PartnerPositioningKey Specs / Progress
TPU 8t (Sunfish)Google × BroadcomTraining9,600 cards per pod, 121 FP4 ExaFLOPS, 2PB shared HBM
TPU 8i (Zebrafish)Google × MediaTekInference288GB HBM, 384MB on-chip SRAM (3× prev gen), ICI 19.2 Tb/s
JalapeñoOpenAI × BroadcomInference9-month end-to-end design, target ~50% token cost cut, commercial end of 2026
Maia 200Microsoft (TSMC 3nm)Inference140B+ transistors, 10+ PFLOPS FP4, 216GB HBM3E, serving GPT-5.2 at Des Moines datacenter
MTIA 300-500Meta (RISC-V) × BroadcomTraining + inferenceUp to 25× compute gain, one model every 6 months before 2027

Google split TPU into training (8t) and inference (8i) dedicated architectures for the first time — its biggest architectural shift in a decade. Norm Jouppi personally took the stage to present TPU v8.


6. Two Hidden Threads — Memory and Networking: HBM4 Year 1 + AI Factory OS

Beyond GPUs/ASICs, two hidden threads mattered equally:

  • Memory: Samsung's HBM Base Die (logic-process base die) and SK hynix's advanced packaging appeared together; the HBM4-era "base-die foundry" industry shift begins; HBF (high-bandwidth flash), LPDDR5X-PIM, 3D DRAM, and CXL compute-storage showcased "compute-in-memory" moving from papers to products.
  • Networking: NVIDIA BlueField-4 (DPU) and Spectrum-X Multiplane architecture (presented by Gilad Shainer) — networking is becoming the decisive architecture for gigascale AI, scaling from hundreds of thousands to a million cards; Broadcom Thor Ultra Ethernet NIC keeps pressing; Mojo Vision showed chip-level optical I/O.

7. Three Routes, One Consensus

At the same conference, three vendors offered three distinctly different AI compute delivery philosophies:

  1. NVIDIA: Full-stack closed integration — GPU, CPU, DPU, and switch chips all self-designed, pushing system performance to the extreme via ultimate software-hardware co-design, at the cost of deep customer lock-in.
  2. AMD: Open-standard catch-up — Uses larger HBM4 capacity + UALoE open interconnect for a "cost-effective + open" play, tearing open the inference gap with Meta and OpenAI's 12GW-class orders.
  3. Intel: Air-cooled cost-effectiveness — Abandons liquid cooling and HBM, uses LPDDR5X large memory + standard PCIe, betting that "most inference doesn't need a 200kW rack."

But all three agree: the unit of competition is no longer the chip, but the co-designed system (rack / system). For buyers, 2027 compute planning should compare not "single-card PFLOPS" but "tokens per megawatt, latency, availability, and full-lifecycle cost."

References


This article is compiled from Hot Chips 2026 (Aug 23-25) official presentations and on-site reports from ServeTheHome, SemiAnalysis, TechPowerUp, etc. Performance data are vendor-disclosed figures; actual performance subject to mass-produced products.

Domestic Big Three 2026 H2: Localization Rate Crosses 40% Toward 60%, Ascend 960 Roadmap, MLU690 and S5000 Ecosystems Ramp Up

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

In 2026, China's AI chip market landscape has shifted from "NVIDIA unipolar dominance" to "overseas vendors leading, domestic multi-route catch-up." According to industry research, China's overall AI accelerator market was ~4M units in 2025, of which 1.65M were domestic, with share first breaking 40%; as products iterate and fabs follow up, the localization rate is expected to rise to 60%-70% by 2027. This article focuses on the latest H2 2026 progress of Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, and Moore Threads — the domestic "Big Three."


1. Huawei Ascend: 950 Capacity Fully Booked, 960 Roadmap Unveiled

Ascend's core advantage is "architecture + full-stack ecosystem synergy," with ~800K units shipped in 2025, capturing 50% of the total domestic vendor share. The product iteration cadence is clear:

TimeProductNote
2025 Q1Ascend 910CMain transitional model
2026 Q1Ascend 950PRInference flagship
2026 Q4 (planned)Ascend 950DTTraining flagship, drives domestic HBM iteration
2027-2028Ascend 960 / 970Roadmap products

950 series capacity has entered a "fully booked" state: 950PR entered mass production in April 2026; June monthly capacity jumped to 500K-600K units (nearly 10x MoM), with a full-year target of 1.2M units at 100% certainty; ByteDance locked in 350K units for $5.6B, while Tencent / Alibaba / Baidu combined locked in 400K units.

Ascend 960 roadmap specs (per roadmap disclosure):

MetricAscend 960
ArchitectureAscend 6th gen (Da Vinci v6)
FP8 compute~4 PFLOPS
Memory288GB
Memory bandwidth9.6 TB/s
Super-nodeAtlas 960 SuperPoD, 15,488 cards, Lingqu optical-electrical converged bus
Debut2027 Q4 (roadmap)

The previous-gen Ascend 384 super-node has cumulatively shipped over 750 sets, deployed across 20+ industries including internet, operators, finance, education, and healthcare — Huawei calls it "the only domestic super-node that has trained a SOTA model."


2. Cambricon MLU690: H2 Mass Production, Entering ByteDance Bidding Window

Cambricon is the core domestic compute leader in the absence of an Ascend IPO, with the technology gap continuously narrowing:

  • Siyuan 590 (7nm): Performance equivalent to 80% of A100, already supports DeepSeek, continuously adapting to mainstream large models like Qwen 3 and GLM
  • Siyuan 690 series: Will enter mass production in H2 2026, expected to achieve order scale-up during ByteDance's H2 bidding window
  • Revenue certainty: Equity incentive targets show >100% revenue growth for the next 3 years: 2026 revenue target 13.5B RMB, 2027 27B RMB, 2028 60B RMB

Cambricon fully benefits from the industry dividend of "domestic CSP capex + full adaptation of domestic large models and domestic chips," making it the most direct elasticity play on rising localization rate.


3. Moore Threads MTT S5000: Full-Function GPU + Ecosystem Breakthrough

Moore Threads takes a differentiated "full-function GPU" route, with the flagship MTT S5000 based on the 4th-gen "Pinghu" MUSA architecture:

MetricMTT S5000
Dense AI compute1000 TFLOPS
Memory80GB
Memory bandwidth1.6 TB/s
Inter-card interconnect784 GB/s
PrecisionFP8 to FP64 full precision (training + inference)
SecurityFirst batch to pass national "Safe and Reliable Evaluation" (Level I)

Its engineering capability is verified: the Kuae (KUAE) intelligent computing cluster based on S5000 achieves 95% training linear scaling efficiency, with compute efficiency loss within 5% at ten-thousand-card scale; supports checkpoint-resume training with effective training time ratio >90%; and has trained a MoE-236B base model with >25 trillion tokens of corpus from scratch.

The ecosystem is Moore Threads' deepest moat: MUSA has achieved 100% core math library compatibility, 3000+ PyTorch operator compatibility, covers 55 categories of core AI operators, has official vLLM and SGLang support, Day-0 adaptation of mainstream models, and 800K+ developers. Its PD heterogeneous-disaggregation solution achieves equivalent replacement of international high-end GPUs at a 2:1 ratio with S5000, significantly reducing inference cost.

The 5th-gen "Huagang" architecture (released 2025-12) supports FP4 to FP64 full precision, with 50% higher compute density and 10x better energy efficiency than the previous gen, supporting 100K+ card clusters; cumulative R&D investment in the "Huashan" (train-infer integrated) and "Lushan" (graphics rendering) new chips based on this architecture exceeds 900M RMB.


4. Software Ecosystem Decides: Day-0 Adaptation Becomes Routine

Beyond hardware, software ecosystem realization is the watershed for domestic compute in 2026:

  • Huawei's CANN heterogeneous computing architecture and MindSeries suite are fully open-sourced, with the community incubating 67 projects, 12.44M+ lines of code, and 3,500+ monthly active developers
  • The "release-and-adapt" closed loop between domestic large models and domestic chips has basically formed: Tencent Hunyuan T3 (295B), DeepSeek-V4, and GLM-5.2 all completed Day-0 adaptation
  • 2026 is regarded as the "first year of domestic super-nodes"; Huatai Securities estimates China's super-node architecture market will reach 341.4B RMB by 2028, with a 2026-2028 CAGR of 194%

5. Industry Judgment: From "Can It Be Built" to "Can It Be Used Well"

The domestic Big Three are converging along three paths:

  1. Huawei: Locks government/enterprise and internet big customers with super-node system-level capability + full-stack software
  2. Cambricon: Impacts the revenue inflection point by narrowing the training-side gap + scaling up via big-customer bidding
  3. Moore Threads: Covers cloud-edge-end full scenarios with full-function GPU generality + mature CUDA-compatible ecosystem

The common shortcoming of all three remains advanced process and HBM supply — precisely the core link of overseas controls. But as domestic HBM iterates and fabs follow up, a realistic path to 60%-70% localization by 2027 exists.

References


This article is compiled from public industry research, broker views, and corporate announcements as of August 2026. Some shipment and market-share figures are third-party estimates, not officially confirmed data.

WAIC 2026 Recap: Huawei Atlas 950 SuperPoD Live Hardware Wins SAIL Grand Award, Domestic Compute Enters the "System-Level" Showdown

· 5 min read
Industry Research Team

The 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) was held July 17-20, 2026 at the Shanghai World Expo Center, themed "Intelligent Partners, Creating the Future Together." Over 1,100 companies showcased 3,000+ exhibits, with 300+ products debuting globally. For the compute-card industry, this concentrated review of domestic compute sent a clear signal: the competitive main line is shifting from "single-chip peak compute" to "SuperNode system-level effective compute."

1. Huawei Atlas 950 SuperPoD: live debut, wins SAIL grand award

Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD live hardware made its first public appearance at WAIC 2026, on-site carrying 16 compute cabinets with 1,024 Ascend cards total. With three system-level innovations — "ultra-wide bandwidth, ultra-low latency, unified memory addressing" — it stood out from hundreds of domestic and international entries to win the conference's top honor, the SAIL (Super AI Leader) Award.

Core parameters (confirmed on-site at WAIC)

MetricAtlas 950 SuperPoD
Exhibited scale16 compute cabinets / 1,024 Ascend cards
Max interconnect scale8,192 Ascend NPU cards fully interconnected (full config)
Interconnect protocolHuawei in-house "Lingqu" (UnifiedBus) 2.0
Total compute1 EFLOPS FP8 / 2 EFLOPS FP4 (1,024 cards); full 8,192-card ~8 EFLOPS FP8
Unified memory256 TB globally unified memory address space
Interconnect latency3 μs ultra-low RTT; TB-level NPU interconnect bandwidth
Full config128 compute cabinets + 32 interconnect cabinets = 160 cabinets, ~1000㎡, carrying 8,192 Ascend 950DT
LaunchFull config planned for Q4 2026
CoolingFully liquid-cooled blind-plug architecture

Huawei disclosed for the first time: the previous-gen Ascend 384 SuperNode has cumulatively shipped 750+ units commercially, deployed across 20+ industries including internet, operators, finance, education, healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing, calling it "the only domestic SuperNode that has trained SOTA models."

2. Software ecosystem: CANN fully open-sourced, developers at scale

Beyond hardware, Huawei highlighted open-source software ecosystem progress:

  • CANN heterogeneous compute architecture and MindSeries base software suite were fully open-sourced end of 2025;
  • The CANN open-source community has incubated 67 projects, 12.44M+ lines of code, with 3,500+ monthly active developers;
  • Huawei has co-developed 7,000+ solutions with 3,000+ industry partners, serving 2,000+ core government/enterprise customers;
  • WAIC showcased 60+ real business scenarios, 20+ benchmark cases, covering the full chain from technology breakthrough to scaled commercial deployment.

3. Domestic chips' Day-0 adaptation becomes routine

On July 6, 2026, Tencent released the MoE model Hunyuan T3 (295B parameters, 256K context); domestic chips rapidly completed Day-0 adaptation:

VendorChipAdaptation status
Moore ThreadsMTT S5000Completed rapid Hunyuan T3 adaptation (previously adapted DeepSeek-V4, GLM-5.2)
MetaXXiyun C seriesIn-house MXMACA stack first to full-chain Day-0 adaptation, zero-code deployment

Moore Threads also showcased the MTT C256 SuperNode (first-of-its-kind single-layer Scale-up 256-card full interconnect, sub-microsecond latency) and three AI-factory solutions — "model training factory / token production factory / agent production factory."

4. More domestic compute debut highlights

Vendor / productHighlight
Orient AlphaChip DF1000World's first "software-defined + near-memory computing" 3D chip, interconnect pitch compressed to sub-micron
ZhongHao XinYing "Xuyu"Fully in-house next-gen TPU-architecture AI-specific chip, with Taize 2.0 server
Enflame × IluvatarDomestic high-performance Matrix SuperNode based on OEX+dOCS architecture, shortlisted for the conference "Excellent AI Leader Award"
Rongming MicroelectronicsAdvancing next-gen VPU, evolving from video processing to "visual-agent compute base"

The domestic AI chip lineup also included Moore Threads, MetaX, Enflame, Houmo, Cixiong, Suaneng, SemiDrive, Phytium, Aixin, Iluvatar, and others.

Industry interpretation: from "can it be built" to "is it used well"

WAIC 2026 reflects a fundamental shift in the competitive stage of domestic AI chips:

  1. SuperNode becomes the main battlefield: beyond single-chip performance, system-level capabilities — "inter-chip interconnect + cluster scale + cooling" — become the breakthrough key. Huawei Lingqu and Enflame/Iluvatar OEX are both pushing here. Huatai Securities defines 2026 as the "first year of domestic SuperNodes," estimating China's SuperNode architecture market could reach ¥341.4B by 2028, with 2026-2028 CAGR of 194%.
  2. Software ecosystem delivers: Day-0 adaptation has gone from slogan to routine; the "launch-and-adapt" closed loop between domestic large models (DeepSeek-V4, GLM-5.2, Hunyuan T3) and domestic chips is essentially formed.
  3. Demand-side endorsement: China Mobile earlier released its 2026-2027 AI SuperNode centralized procurement announcement — about 6,208 cards, over ¥2B — accelerating domestic SuperNode scaled commercialization.

References


This article is compiled from WAIC 2026 (July 17-20) on-site and official disclosures, and will continuously track the 950 SuperNode Q4 launch.

Huawei Ascend 950 Series Capacity & Orders Deep Dive: 950PR Monthly Capacity Jumps 10×, ByteDance Locks In 350k Units for $5.6B

· 4 min read
Industry Research Team

The Ascend 950 series (950PR inference / 950DT training) has become the core supply of domestic AI compute. Per multiple brokerages and industry research, 950 series capacity is 100% booked with scarce spot supply; the full-year 1.2M-unit target is "100% certain," with expectations of an upward revision to 1.5M. This article summarizes capacity and order data as of July 2026.

1. Capacity pace: ~10× MoM jump in June

Time950PR monthly capacityNotes
May 202650k-60k unitsNear full production
June 2026500k-600k units~10× MoM; SMIC, Hua Hong tier-1 suppliers on overtime
Q3 2026 (est.)700k-800k unitsPer month
Full-year 2026 target1.2M unitsUpward revision to 1.5M expected

Supply chain delivery is tight: high-speed backplanes and liquid-cooling connectors' lead time stretched from 2 weeks to 6-8 weeks; orders are booked into 2027.

2. Order structure: top cloud providers + operators + overseas

CustomerLocked volumeAmount / Notes
ByteDance350k 950PR$5.6B, concentrated delivery from Q3 2026
Tencent / Alibaba / Baidu~250k 950PR + 150k 950DTCombined ~400k units
Three major operators200k+ unitsCentralized procurement, for intelligent compute centers and AI private networks
OverseasSouth Korea 2,000 units, Malaysia 3,000 servers, Russia ten-thousand-card clusterFrom pilot to commercial

3. Shipment forecast: firmly #1 domestic

Per CCA (Kezhi) Consulting estimates:

Metric20252026 (forecast)
Huawei Ascend total shipments812k cards1.026M cards
Of which 950PR~800k units
Of which 950DT~100k-200k units

Huawei has completed the product transition from the 910 series to the 950 series. The internet industry has become Ascend's largest application market; competitive advantage is extending from single-hardware performance to software ecosystem and system capabilities.

4. Going overseas: formal South Korea entry in Q4

Per Korean media ETNews, Huawei plans Q4 2026 to formally enter the South Korean market with the Ascend series and Atlas 950 SuperPod:

  • Local distributor agreements signed; two channel partners including SK Shieldus selected
  • Main products: 950PR (mass-produced and delivered since April) and 950DT (launched Q4)
  • Official line: 950PR inference performance is 2.87× that of H20, priced at about 1/4 of it

5. WAIC 2026: 1024-card live debut confirmed

At WAIC 2026 (July 17-20, Shanghai), Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD live hardware made its first public appearance — a 16 compute-cabinet, 1,024 Ascend-card scale — and won the conference's top honor, the SAIL Award:

  • Core metrics: total compute 1 EFLOPS FP8 / 2 EFLOPS FP4, 256 TB globally unified memory addressing, Lingqu 2.0 interconnect, 3 μs ultra-low RTT latency
  • Full configuration: 128 compute cabinets + 32 interconnect cabinets = 160 cabinets, ~1000㎡ footprint, carrying 8,192 Ascend 950DT, planned Q4 2026 launch
  • Commercial foundation: previous-gen 384 SuperNode has cumulatively shipped 750+ units, deployed in 20+ industries
  • Software ecosystem: CANN fully open-sourced end of 2025; community incubated 67 projects, 12.44M+ lines of code, 3,500+ monthly active developers

WAIC's debut confirmed the 950 series' "SuperNode-first" product logic: beyond single-card compute, system-level effective compute (interconnect bandwidth + unified memory + low latency) is the key dimension for domestic compute to benchmark against international flagships.

Ascend roadmap recap

ProductPositioningKey metrics (official roadmap)
950PRInference1 PFLOPS (FP8) / 2 PFLOPS (FP4), 2 TB/s interconnect
950DTTrainingSuperNode core, launched Q4
960Train/inference2 PFLOPS (FP8) / 4 PFLOPS
970Next-genIn planning

Industry interpretation

  1. Domestic substitution moves from inference to training: 950PR (inference) ramps first, 950DT (training) follows in Q4, combined with the Atlas 950 SuperPoD ten-thousand-card interconnect — domestic compute now has the complete "training substitution" puzzle for the first time.
  2. Capacity is the biggest variable: order certainty is extremely high, but SMIC/Hua Hong advanced-process capacity, HBM supply, and advanced packaging remain ramp bottlenecks — the root of "scarce spot supply."
  3. Going overseas opens a second growth curve: bulk procurement from South Korea, Malaysia, Russia, and Latin America marks domestic compute's shift from "internal circulation" to "external circulation."

References


Data in this article is based on official and major brokerage research; capacity/orders are dynamic figures and will be continuously updated.

2026 H1 AI Chip Industry Review: Blackwell Ultra, the Domestic Big Three, and the Inference Era

· 11 min read
Industry Research Team

In the first half of 2026, the AI chip industry underwent a historic turning point — the center of gravity shifted from the "training race" to "inference efficiency," domestic chip market share broke 40% for the first time, NVIDIA built higher barriers with Blackwell Ultra, and the inference-specific chip track bloomed in diversity.


I. Compute Doubles Again: NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Launch (June 1)

On June 1, 2026, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang unveiled the new-generation AI chip Blackwell Ultra at Computex 2026 (Taipei), setting a new starting line for the AI infrastructure race over the next two years.

Key Specs

MetricBlackwell UltraB200Improvement
FP8 compute20 petaFLOPS~10 petaFLOPS100%
ArchitectureBlackwell UltraBlackwellUpgrade
Expected delivery2027 Q12026 Q1
PositioningHyperscale training + inferenceTraining + inferenceFlagship

Industry Significance

  1. Direct impact of doubled compute: 20 petaFLOPS FP8 means training time for hundred-billion-parameter models drops sharply; trillion-parameter model training moves from "scientific experiment" to "engineering routine"
  2. System-level balance: Blackwell Ultra is not just a chip but a system-level engineering breakthrough across NVLink, HBM, cooling, and power delivery
  3. Roadmap certainty: The Q1 2027 delivery timeline lets cloud vendors and AI labs plan infrastructure budgets 18 months ahead

Challenges

  • Energy crisis: Doubled performance comes with sharply higher power; datacenter power and cooling design face extreme challenges
  • Accessibility: Top-tier compute goes first to top cloud vendors; how smaller developers and research institutes reach compute at reasonable cost via cloud services
  • Software stack adaptation: New hardware needs matching CUDA versions and framework support; software ecosystem maturity becomes the key bottleneck for compute conversion

II. Domestic AI Chips: The Tipping Point from "Usable" to "Good"

On June 16, 2026, Xinchuang World published "2026 China Domestic AI Chip Vendor Capability Quadrant", clearly outlining the overall domestic landscape.

2.1 Capability Quadrant Ranking

QuadrantRepresentative Vendors
Leader quadrantHuawei Ascend, Hygon, Cambricon, Alibaba T-Head, Moore Threads
Visionary quadrantBaidu Kunlunxin, Biren, Enflame, Iluvatar, HardyVision
Contender quadrantTSINGMICRO, Black Sesame, SemiDrive, Lisuan, Houmo
Challenger quadrantDenglin, Zhicun, VeriSilicon, Rockchip, Intellifusion

2.2 Huawei Ascend: The Anchor of Domestic Compute

Market Position

  • In 2025, Ascend series shipped 812,000 units, capturing 49% of the domestic AI accelerator card share, firmly No.1 domestically
  • Ascend 950PR single-card FP8 compute reaches 1P (PetaFLOPS), FP4 compute reaches 2P
  • Inference performance is about 2.87x that of NVIDIA H20, priced at only 72,000-75,000 RMB, a significant price/performance advantage

Full-Stack Advantage

Huawei's "device-network-cloud-chip" integrated strategy is Ascend's core moat:

  • Chip design: Da Vinci 3.0 architecture iterating continuously
  • OS: HarmonyOS/Euler OS deeply optimized
  • Networking: Euler network protocol stack
  • Cloud: Huawei Cloud ModelArts platform seamlessly integrated

Latest Progress

  • On June 5, 2026, Shenzhen Hetao College, together with HIT (Shenzhen) and Huawei, completed full-parameter post-training of a 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro model on an Ascend 910C cluster
  • This is the first time domestic AI chips completed trillion-parameter-level model training, marking "domestic substitution" moving from inference to training

2.3 Cambricon: The First Profitable Domestic AI Chip Benchmark

Performance Explosion

MetricFull-year 20252026 Q1YoY Growth
Revenue6.497B RMB2.885B RMB+453% / +160%
Net profit2.059B RMB (first annual profit)1.013B RMB— / +185%

Core Product: Siyuan 590

  • In DeepSeek R1 inference scenarios, TPS reaches 942, about 50% higher than H20
  • Years of joint optimization with ByteDance; strongest short-term cloud inference deployment capability
  • Of 2.885B RMB Q1 2026 revenue, Siyuan 590 contributed over 70%

Potential Risks

Absent from the 2nd 2026 "Safe and Reliable Evaluation Results Announcement"; the reason is unclear and will affect its domestic government/enterprise market performance.

2.4 TSINGMICRO: The "Third Route" of Reconfigurable Chips

Technical Route

TSINGMICRO adopts a reconfigurable dataflow architecture同源 with Groq LPU, finding a balance between GPU generality and ASIC extreme efficiency.

MetricTSINGMICRO TX81Traditional GPUAdvantage
Inference costBaseline+100%Reduced 50%
Energy efficiencyBaselineBaseline3x improvement
ArchitectureReconfigurable dataflowSIMT/SIMDBetter for inference

Deployment Progress

  • Cumulative shipments of reconfigurable chips exceed 30 million units
  • Scaled deployment in a dozen-plus thousand-card-scale intelligent computing centers nationwide
  • Has begun A-share IPO tutoring; likely to become the "first reconfigurable chip stock"

III. The Inference Chip Track: Core Signal of the Industry Shift

On June 4, 2026, TrendForce published a deep report "The Era of Inference Economy: The Rules of AI Chips Are Being Rewritten," pointing out that the compute competition center of gravity is shifting from training to inference.

3.1 Why Now?

Cost Structure Changed

  • Training is a one-time cost: Once a model is trained, marginal cost approaches zero
  • Inference is a recurring cost: Every API call, every generated token represents compute consumption and gross-margin pressure
  • Per-unit inference cost and energy efficiency directly affect gross margin and scale-expansion capability

Model Compression Tech Matured

  • 1.58-bit quantization and weight pruning let models maintain inference accuracy at extremely low memory footprint
  • MoE (Mixture of Experts) architecture activates only a few expert sub-networks per inference via "partial wake-up," greatly reducing actual computation
  • The rise of slimmed models provides commercial viability for hard-wired inference chips

3.2 NVIDIA's $20B Bet: Acquiring Groq (December 2025)

On December 24, 2025, NVIDIA acquired Groq's inference technology license and core team for $20 billion, one of NVIDIA's largest M&A/tech acquisitions ever.

Strategic intent:

  1. Fill the inference gap: NVIDIA GPU is unshakable in training, but inference efficiency was never its strongest suit
  2. Counter specialized inference chips: Cerebras, Taalas, SambaNova and other startups are eroding the inference market
  3. Position for Agentic AI: Agentic AI needs extremely low-latency, high-throughput inference

3.3 Taalas HC1: Proof of Concept for Hard-Wired Inference

On February 20, 2026, Canadian AI chip startup Taalas launched inference chip Taalas HC1, directly etching Meta's open-source AI model Llama 3.1 8B into the chip.

Key Metrics

MetricTaalas HC1NVIDIA B200 (throughput optimized)Advantage
Inference rate16,960 tokens/s/userBaseline~4-5x
Cost per million tokens0.75 cents3.79 centsReduced 80%
Power~250W~700WReduced 64%
ProcessTSMC N6TSMC 4nmMore mature
HBM❌ Not used✅ HBM3eLower cost

Technical Principle

Taalas HC1 uses an aggressive Computing-in-Memory (CIM) implementation:

  • Model weights directly固化 in Mask ROM (fully hardware-defined)
  • On-chip SRAM handles dynamic data (KV cache and LoRA fine-tuning weights)
  • Only 2 mask layers need modification to produce a dedicated chip for another AI model; turning an AI model into a physical chip takes only 2 months

Limitations

  • Lack of flexibility: Hard-wiring cannot cope with rapidly iterating model updates
  • Ecosystem barrier: The current cloud market still relies on general-purpose platforms; customers may prefer flexible solutions that upgrade with models
  • NRE cost: High one-time engineering cost, requiring sufficient deployment scale to amortize

3.4 Cerebras: The IPO Path of Wafer-Scale Integration

On May 14, 2026, Cerebras Systems officially listed on NASDAQ, becoming the first wafer-scale AI chip company to go public.

Core Technology: Wafer-Scale Integration (WSI)

  • WSE-3 (third-gen wafer-scale engine): An entire 12-inch wafer as a single chip
  • 44GB on-chip SRAM: No external HBM, eliminating the memory bandwidth bottleneck
  • 21 PB/s bandwidth: On-chip communication bandwidth, thousands of times that of GPUs
  • Partnership with OpenAI: Signed a 3-year, 750MW, $20B+ compute cooperation agreement

IPO Significance

Cerebras's listing marks the maturation of the inference-specific chip track:

  1. Capital markets begin pricing such companies
  2. Proves "non-GPU" technical routes have commercial viability
  3. Provides valuation references for other inference chip startups (Groq, SambaNova, Taalas, etc.)

3.5 Inference Chip Landscape: Multiple Technical Routes Coexist

CompanyTechnical RouteCore AdvantageRepresentative Product
TaalasHard-wired (Mask ROM)Extreme inference efficiency, low costHC1
CerebrasWafer-scale integration (WSI)Ultra-high bandwidth, large-model inferenceWSE-3
GroqSRAM-first architectureDeterministic latency, high throughputLPU (acquired by NVIDIA)
d-MatrixDigital in-memory compute (DIMC)More flexible than hard-wiringCorsair
EtchedHard-wired TransformerWorks for all Transformer modelsSohu
Axelera AIDigital in-memory compute (D-IMC) + RISC-VHigh energy efficiencyMetis AIPU

TrendForce predicts:

  • General-purpose GPUs still dominate training and multi-model environments
  • But in mature, predictable scenarios, general-purpose GPU profit margins will be compressed
  • The industry shifts from general compute monopoly to a dual-track structure of general + specialized coexistence

IV. Overall Domestic AI Chip Landscape in H1 2026

4.1 Industry Enters Scale-Up Phase

Metric20252026 Q1Trend
Domestic AI accelerator shipments1.65M units (41% share)Rising
Total China AI accelerator shipments~4M units
Hygon revenue growthDoubled
Cambricon revenue growth+160%
Moore Threads revenue growthDoubled

Leading vendors collectively entered the revenue realization channel, moving from "technical validation" to "scale commercialization."

Trend 1: Capitalization Wave Reshapes the Landscape

  • Late 2025 to early 2026: Moore Threads, Iluvatar listed on the STAR Market
  • Biren listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange
  • Enflame STAR Market IPO accepted
  • Kunlunxin, T-Head initiated listing processes
  • TSINGMICRO, HardyVision and others advancing IPOs

Capitalization brings dual effects:

  • Positive: Supports R&D and ecosystem building
  • ⚠️ Negative: Valuation bubbles and revenue realization pressure

Trend 2: Capacity Becomes the Biggest Constraint Variable

The contradiction between explosive domestic AI chip demand and limited advanced-process capacity is sharpening:

VendorAdvanced-process capacity needActually obtained
Huawei Ascend15K wafers/month (7nm-class)Priority guaranteed
SMIC total capacity~20K wafers/month (7nm-class)
Other vendors~5K wafers/month combinedExtremely tight

Whether stable wafer capacity can be secured directly determines vendor survival. Cambricon's 75.4% inventory-to-revenue ratio is essentially a lock on capacity.

Trend 3: Competition Shifts from "Usable" to "Good"

Early competition focused on "can it run the model"; now it's about "runtime efficiency, deployment cost":

Dimension"Usable" era"Good" era
Hardware performanceCan it run the modelRuntime efficiency, energy efficiency
Software stackBasic adaptationMaturity, framework breadth
EcosystemExistenceDeveloper community activity
Deployment costInsensitiveCore competitive factor

V. H2 2026 Outlook

5.1 Upcoming Key Events

TimeEventImpact
2026 Q3NVIDIA Rubin architecture details revealedNext-gen flagship specs unveiled
2026 Q3Huawei Ascend 950PR/950DT formally launchedNew benchmark for domestic inference chips
2026 Q4AMD MI350X scaled deliveryNVIDIA Blackwell competitor
2026 Q4Cambricon Siyuan 690 launch (est.)New-gen training chip
2027 Q1NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra deliveryNew compute benchmark lands

5.2 Key Competitive Factors Over the Next Three Years

  1. Wafer capacity access: Advanced-process capacity is a scarce resource; vendors tied to SMIC and TSMC have inherent advantages
  2. Capital operation efficiency: The IPO window is limited; raising enough capital on the market determines R&D sustainability
  3. Software ecosystem depth: Hardware performance is only the entry ticket; software stack maturity, framework adaptation breadth, and developer community activity are the core moat

VI. Conclusion: A Diverse Ecosystem Will Eventually Form

In H1 2026, the AI chip industry is undergoing a historic transition from "one dominant player" to "pluralistic coexistence."

  • NVIDIA builds higher training barriers with Blackwell Ultra while laying out inference efficiency via the Groq acquisition
  • Huawei Ascend holds the domestic compute baseline with full-stack capability; 950PR begins to surpass H20 in inference
  • Cambricon proves the commercial viability of domestic AI chips by turning profitable first; Siyuan 590 surpasses international rivals in specific scenarios
  • Cerebras, Taalas and other inference-specific chip companies opened a "non-GPU" third route
  • TSINGMICRO's reconfigurable architecture provides a diversified technical route choice for China's AI chips

Over the next three years, the domestic AI chip endgame will form a pluralistic ecosystem where GPU, ASIC, and reconfigurable computing three technical routes coexist, with cloud and edge developing in coordination. "Domestic substitution" is no longer a slogan, but an industrial reality happening now.


Data sources:

  • Xinchuang World "2026 China Domestic AI Chip Vendor Capability Quadrant" (2026-06-16)
  • TrendForce "The Era of Inference Economy: The Rules of AI Chips Are Being Rewritten" (2026-06-04)
  • RayByte "Compute Doubles! NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Chip Launched" (2026-06-02)
  • Official financial reports and announcements of each company

Related reading:


June 2026 AI Chip Major Events Roundup: Ascend 910C Trains Trillion-Parameter Model, OpenAI Custom Chip, RTX Spark Launch

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

June 2026 saw multiple milestone events in the AI chip field, marking acceleration of two major trends: "domestic substitution" and "de-NVIDIA-ization."

1. Huawei Ascend 910C Completes 1.6-Trillion-Parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro Training (2026-06-05)

Event Overview

June 5, 2026, Shenzhen Hetao College, together with Harbin Institute of Technology (Shenzhen), Shenzhen Big Data Research Institute, Huawei, and other teams, relied on an Ascend 910C domestic AI compute cluster to successfully complete full-parameter post-training of the 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro large model.

Technical Significance

MetricValue
Model parameters1.6 trillion
Training chipAscend 910C cluster
Training typeFull Parameter Post-Training
SignificanceFirst time domestic AI chips complete trillion-parameter-level model training

Industry Impact

  1. Breaks technology blockade: Proves domestic AI chips can train trillion-parameter models
  2. Accelerates "farewell to NVIDIA": DeepSeek fully switches to Huawei Ascend, reducing dependence on H100
  3. Domestic substitution inflection point: From "inference substitution" to "training substitution"

2. OpenAI Launches First Custom AI Inference Chip Jalapeño (2026-06-24)

Event Overview

June 24, 2026, OpenAI and Broadcom jointly launched the first custom AI inference chip Jalapeño, with a design cycle of only 9 months (industry average 18 months), using TSMC 3nm process.

Key Metrics

MetricJalapeñoComparison (Blackwell)
ProcessTSMC 3nmTSMC 4nm
ArchitectureSystolic ArrayBlackwell GPU
Design cycle9 months~18 months
Inference cost-50%Baseline
AI-assisted design✅ First❌ No
DeploymentEnd of 2026Shipped

Strategic Significance

  1. First AI chip with AI-assisted design: OpenAI used models like GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark to assist architecture exploration
  2. Accelerates "de-NVIDIA-ization": Tech giants (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, OpenAI) collectively develop custom chips
  3. Inference cost revolution: For OpenAI processing hundreds of millions of API calls daily, a 50% cost reduction is significant

3. NVIDIA Launches RTX Spark AI PC Superchip at Computex 2026 (2026-06-01)

Event Overview

June 1, 2026, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang launched the RTX Spark AI PC superchip at Computex 2026 / GTC Taipei, in collaboration with MediaTek, using an Arm CPU + Blackwell GPU unified-memory architecture.

Key Metrics

MetricRTX Spark
CPUUp to 20-core Arm (with MediaTek)
GPU6,144 CUDA cores (Blackwell)
Unified memory128GB LPDDR5X (shared CPU+GPU)
Memory bandwidth300 GB/s
AI compute~1 PFLOPS (est.)
Model capacityCan run 120B-parameter models
ContextUp to 1 million tokens
TDP~100W (est.)
AvailabilityFall 2026

Industry Impact

  1. NVIDIA enters PC chip market: Challenges Intel's dominance in personal computers
  2. New AI PC standard: Run 120B-parameter models locally, 1M-token context
  3. Windows transforms into AI Agent platform: Deep collaboration with Microsoft OpenShell framework

4. MIIT Publishes "2026 AI Chip Industry Development White Paper" (2026-06-09)

Event Overview

June 9, 2026, China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published the "2026 AI Chip Industry Development White Paper," predicting the domestic AI chip market will exceed 200 billion RMB in 2026.

Key Predictions

Metric2026 Prediction
Market sizeExceed 200 billion RMB
Domestic chip share>50% (41% in 2025)
Edge inference chipsSignificant progress
Shipment growthMore than double (vs 2025)

Industry Significance

  1. Domestic AI chip capitalization accelerates: Cambricon, Enflame, Moore Threads, etc. accelerate IPOs
  2. Edge inference becomes the breakthrough: Easier to achieve domestic substitution than training chips
  3. Policy dividend continues: Domestic substitution upgraded from "market behavior" to "national strategy"

5. ByteDance in Talks to Procure 50K Iluvatar Inference Chips (2026-06-17)

Event Overview

June 17, 2026, Reuters reported that ByteDance is in talks with Shanghai AI chip firm Iluvatar to procure at least 50,000 AI chips, mainly for inference tasks.

Deal Details

ItemContent
BuyerByteDance
SupplierIluvatar
Chip modelZhiKai series (inference GPU)
QuantityAt least 50,000
UseInference workloads
Training chipTianTai series

Industry Significance

  1. Domestic GPU top player "adds a member": Iluvatar enters a top internet company's supply chain for the first time
  2. ByteDance 2026 capex raised over 200B RMB: Mainly for AI compute and datacenters
  3. "Domestic substitution" extends from government/SOEs to private tech giants

Trend 1: "Domestic Substitution" Moves from Inference to Training

  • Ascend 910C completes 1.6-trillion-parameter model training → Proves domestic chips have training capability
  • DeepSeek fully switches to Ascend → Leading AI companies first to "farewell to NVIDIA"
  • ByteDance procures Iluvatar → Private tech giants follow

Trend 2: "De-NVIDIA-ization" from Slogan to Action

  • OpenAI Jalapeño → First custom chip, inference cost -50%
  • Google TPU, Amazon Trainium, Microsoft Maia → Continuous iteration
  • Meta MTIA, Apple M5 Ultra → Increased investment

Trend 3: AI PC and Edge Inference Become New Battlefield

  • NVIDIA RTX Spark → New AI PC standard, launches Fall 2026
  • Edge inference chip localization accelerates → Key mention in MIIT white paper
  • "Local trillion-parameter model execution" → New consumer market selling point

Looking Ahead (2026 H2)

  1. Ascend 950DT full scale-up (2026 Q4) → Huawei's latest-gen training chip
  2. NVIDIA Rubin R200 shipment (2026 H2) → Next-gen flagship
  3. AMD MI400 Helios rack (2026 H2) → Targets NVIDIA GB200
  4. OpenAI Jalapeño deployment (end of 2026) → Gigawatt-scale datacenters
  5. Domestic AI chip shipments more than double → CITIC Securities prediction

References


This article is continuously updated. Please provide the latest developments.

China's Domestic AI Chip Triopoly (2026): Ascend, Cambricon, Moore Threads — Who Is the "China H100"?

· 7 min read
AI Hardware Analyst

Against the backdrop of U.S. export controls, China's AI chip market is forming a "three-way standoff." This article compares the technical routes, product specs, software ecosystems, and commercial progress of the three major domestic AI chip vendors: Huawei Ascend, Cambricon MLU, and Moore Threads MTT.


Key Points

  • Huawei Ascend: leader in domestic AI training chips; Ascend 950 in mass production; most mature software ecosystem
  • Cambricon MLU690: the "China H100," compute close to H200, clear efficiency advantage
  • Moore Threads MTT S5000: full-function GPU route; achieved Day-0 support for Qwen3.5 and GLM-5.2 in June 2026
  • Shared challenge: affected by U.S. export controls, primarily aimed at the Chinese market, limited internationally

I. Vendor Overview

VendorFoundedFounderListed2025 RevenueMain Customers
Huawei Ascend2018 (division)Ren Zhengfeiprivate (wholly owned by Huawei)~¥20B (est.)Chinese gov, SOEs, military
Cambricon2016Chen Tianshi (CAS)2020-07 (STAR Market 688256)~¥5.2BByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu
Moore Threads2020Zhang Jianzhong (ex-NVIDIA China)2023-12 (STAR Market 688495)~¥1.5B (est.)gov, SOEs, gaming cos.

Strategic Positioning

VendorTech routeCore strengthMain challenge
Huawei AscendAI-training-specific (Da Vinci)co-optimized HW/SW, carrier channelssanctions, process limits
CambriconAI-training-specific (MLUarch)high efficiency, competitive priceimmature ecosystem
Moore ThreadsFull-function GPU (MUSA)graphics + AI + general compute, Day-0 supportcompute below dedicated AI chips

II. Flagship Product Comparison

1. Huawei Ascend 950DT (2026 flagship)

ItemSpec
BF16 compute1,000 TFLOPS
Memory144GB HiZQ 2.0 (in-house HBM)
Memory bandwidth4 TB/s
TDP400W
ProcessN+2 (improved 7nm)
Released2026-04
Mass production2026-Q2
Unit price~¥80,000 (est.)

Strengths:

  • High large-model inference throughput: 144GB memory friendly to DeepSeek R1 (671B MoE)
  • Most mature ecosystem: CANN ~85% operator coverage, supports PyTorch, TensorFlow
  • Strong carrier channel: China Mobile, China Telecom large purchases

Weaknesses:

  • Process limited: N+2 below TSMC 4nm
  • Mediocre efficiency: 400W TDP, 2.5 TFLOPS/W

2. Cambricon MLU690 (2026 flagship)

ItemSpec
BF16 compute600 TFLOPS
Memory64GB HBM3
Memory bandwidth2 TB/s
TDP280W
ProcessTSMC 7nm
Released2025-Q4
Mass production2026-Q1
Unit price~¥140,000 (est.)

Strengths:

  • Best efficiency: 280W TDP, 2.14 TFLOPS/W (1.5x H100)
  • Competitive price: ~$20,000, 33% cheaper than H100
  • Top-tier customer orders: ByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu

Weaknesses:

  • Small memory: 64GB limits large-model training scale
  • Immature ecosystem: NeuWare ~75–85% coverage; complex LLMs need manual tuning

3. Moore Threads MTT S5000 (2025 flagship)

ItemSpec
FP16 compute~1,000 TFLOPS (est.)
Memory80GB GDDR6X
Memory bandwidth1.6 TB/s
TDP~350W
ProcessTSMC 4nm (est.)
Released2025-02
Mass production2025-Q2
Unit price~¥50,000 (est.)

Strengths:

  • Full-function GPU: graphics + AI + general compute, broader scenarios
  • Strong Day-0 support: June 2026 Day-0 support for Qwen3.5, GLM-5.2, MiniMax M3
  • Lowest price: ~¥50,000, high cost-performance

Weaknesses:

  • Compute below dedicated AI chips: FP16 ~50% of H100
  • Low memory bandwidth: 1.6 TB/s (48% of H100), limits large-model training

III. Compute Comparison (BF16/FP16)

ChipBF16 computeMemoryBandwidthTDPEfficiency
Huawei Ascend 950DT1,000 TFLOPS144GB4 TB/s400W2.5 TFLOPS/W
Cambricon MLU690600 TFLOPS64GB2 TB/s280W2.14 TFLOPS/W
Moore Threads MTT S5000~1,000 TFLOPS80GB1.6 TB/s~350W~2.86 TFLOPS/W
NVIDIA H100989 TFLOPS80GB3.35 TB/s700W1.41 TFLOPS/W
NVIDIA H200989 TFLOPS141GB4.8 TB/s700W1.41 TFLOPS/W

Key insights:

  1. Ascend 950DT has the highest compute (1,000 TFLOPS) but mediocre efficiency
  2. Cambricon MLU690 has the best efficiency (2.14 TFLOPS/W), TDP only 280W
  3. Moore Threads MTT S5000 wins on full-function versatility but low bandwidth

IV. Software Ecosystem

VendorStackFramework supportCoverageMaturity
Huawei AscendCANNPyTorch, TensorFlow, MindSpore~85%⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
CambriconNeuWarePyTorch-Cambricon, TensorFlow-Cambricon~75–85%⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Moore ThreadsMUSIFYPyTorch, TensorFlow, ONNX~70%⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
NVIDIACUDAall~99%⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)

Ecosystem Maturity Assessment

Huawei Ascend CANN:

  • ✅ Strength: highest operator coverage, supports MindSpore (in-house framework)
  • ❌ Weakness: steep learning curve, incomplete docs

Cambricon NeuWare:

  • ✅ Strength: PyTorch/TensorFlow compatible, low migration cost
  • ❌ Weakness: complex LLMs need manual tuning

Moore Threads MUSIFY:

  • ✅ Strength: strong Day-0 support, ONNX support
  • ❌ Weakness: lowest operator coverage, dual graphics+AI engine complexity

V. Commercial Progress

Vendor2026 commercial progressMain customersShipments
Huawei AscendAscend 950 mass production; China Mobile large purchaseChina Mobile, China Telecom, gov~100K/yr (est.)
CambriconMLU690 mass production; ByteDance, Alibaba ordersByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu~50K/yr (est.)
Moore ThreadsMTT S5000 mass production; Day-0 Qwen3.5gov, SOEs, gaming cos.~30K/yr (est.)

Latest as of June 2026

Huawei Ascend:

  • ✅ Ascend 950DT fully ramping
  • ✅ ¥1B procurement agreement with China Mobile

Cambricon:

  • ✅ MLU690 in volume shipment
  • ✅ ByteDance order ~20K units

Moore Threads:

  • ✅ Day-0 support for Qwen3.5, GLM-5.2, MiniMax M3
  • ✅ MTT S5000 2nd-gen released

VI. Selection Advice

Scenario 1: Trillion-parameter training (GPT-4 class)

Recommended: Huawei Ascend 950DT

  • ✅ 144GB large memory supports super-large models
  • ✅ Most mature ecosystem (~85% coverage)
  • ✅ Strong carrier channel, Chinese government backing

Alternative: Cambricon MLU690 (high efficiency, but small memory)

Scenario 2: Tens-to-hundreds-of-billions parameter training

Recommended: Cambricon MLU690

  • ✅ Best efficiency (2.14 TFLOPS/W), low TCO
  • ✅ Competitive price (~$20,000)
  • ✅ Validated by top customers (ByteDance, Alibaba)

Alternative: Huawei Ascend 920 (more compute, mediocre efficiency)

Scenario 3: Cloud AI inference

Recommended: Huawei Ascend 950PR (inference-specific)

  • ✅ Well-optimized inference throughput
  • ✅ 128GB memory friendly to MoE models
  • ✅ Mature stack, low deployment cost

Alternative: Moore Threads MTT S5000 (full-function GPU, inference + graphics)

Scenario 4: Edge AI / on-device inference

Recommended: Moore Threads MTT S5000

  • ✅ Full-function GPU, graphics + AI
  • ✅ Lowest price (~¥50,000)
  • ✅ Strong Day-0 support

Alternative: Huawei Ascend 310 (low power, 8W TDP)

Scenario 5: Domestic substitution (gov, SOEs)

Recommended: Huawei Ascend 950DT

  • ✅ Chinese government first choice, carrier bulk buys
  • ✅ Co-optimized HW/SW, stable performance
  • ✅ Supported by national semiconductor fund

Alternative: Cambricon MLU690 (high efficiency, competitive price)


VII. Future Roadmap

Vendor2026 H220272028
Huawei Ascend950DT ramp960 (FP8 ~2 PFLOPS)970 (N+3 process)
CambriconMLU690 rampMLU790 (5nm, BF16 ~1,000 TFLOPS)MLU890 (3nm)
Moore ThreadsMTT S5000 2nd-genMTT S6000 (HBM3, FP16 ~1,500 TFLOPS)MTT S7000

VIII. Summary: Who Is the "China H100"?

DimensionAscend 950DTMLU690MTT S5000
Compute⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Memory⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)⭐⭐ (2/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Efficiency⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Ecosystem⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Price⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)
Overall⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)

Final conclusion:

  • Huawei Ascend 950DT is the domestic AI training chip closest to H100, strongest overall
  • Cambricon MLU690 is the most efficient domestic AI chip, lowest TCO
  • Moore Threads MTT S5000 is the cheapest full-function GPU, suited to edge AI and graphics+AI

References


Disclaimer: Data based on public sources; actual specs per vendor official. MirrorFrog continuously updates domestic AI chip data — corrections welcome.

Changelog: 2026-06-23 initial release

2026 H2 AI Chip Roadmap Major Update: Qualcomm Enters, AMD MI400 Three Models Unveiled, Huawei Three-Generation Roadmap

· 7 min read
AI Hardware Analyst

June 2026 update — the AI compute card market is undergoing its most dramatic reshuffling in years. This article walks through the latest roadmap developments.


Key Takeaways

  • Qualcomm AI 200/250 officially enters the datacenter AI inference market, targeting NVIDIA H200
  • AMD MI400 series unveils three models: MI430X (HPC), MI440X (enterprise), MI455X (flagship)
  • Huawei publishes a three-generation roadmap: 950 (2026) → 960 (2027-Q4) → 970 (2028-Q4)
  • Intel Jaguar Shores timeline uncertain, possibly delayed to 2027 or later
  • NVIDIA Rubin R200 is in full mass production; the Vera CPU + Rubin GPU combination is now shipping

1. Qualcomm: Mobile Giant Moves Into Datacenter AI

AI 100 → AI 200 → AI 250

Qualcomm officially launched the AI 200 datacenter inference chip in October 2025, marking the mobile giant's formal entry into the datacenter AI market.

ModelLaunchAvailabilityKey Features
AI 1002025-102026 H2Rack-scale AI inference, 768GB LPDDR per card
AI 2502025-102027 H1Near-memory computing architecture, 10x effective memory bandwidth

Why Qualcomm Can Succeed

  1. Low TCO: LPDDR memory is far cheaper than HBM
  2. Energy efficiency: Mobile chip design heritage, excellent power control
  3. Inference-focused: Not chasing training performance, focused on inference scenarios
  4. Rack form factor: Direct liquid cooling, 160kW rack-level power, Ethernet interconnect

Market Impact

  • Takes on NVIDIA H200: AI 200 inference performance approaches H200 but with 30-40% lower TCO
  • Pressures NVIDIA: May push NVIDIA to launch inference-specific chips (e.g., Rubin CPX)
  • Diversifies choice: Breaks NVIDIA's monopoly in the inference market

2. AMD MI400 Series: Three Models, Precise Positioning

At CES 2026 (January 2026), AMD officially unveiled the three models of the MI400 series, precisely covering different markets:

MI430X (HPC + Sovereign AI)

FeatureSpec
PositioningHPC + sovereign AI
FP32/FP64Supported (key differentiator)
Use casesScientific computing, climate simulation, national AI infrastructure
CompetitorNVIDIA does not make FP64 AI cards

MI440X (Enterprise Servers)

FeatureSpec
PositioningEnterprise 8-GPU servers
CompatibilityWorks with existing datacenter infrastructure
Use casesEnterprise AI, private cloud, edge inference
AdvantageCheaper and easier to deploy than MI455X

MI455X (Flagship AI Training)

FeatureSpec
PositioningFlagship AI training + inference
Optimized precisionFP4/FP8/BF16
Helios rackCore component
CompetitorNVIDIA Rubin R200

Helios Rack-Scale Solution

AMD also launched the Helios rack-scale AI solution at CES 2026:

  • 18 Zen 6 CPUs (2nm process)
  • 72 MI455X GPUs
  • Direct liquid cooling
  • Shipment expected in 2026 H2

3. Huawei Three-Generation Roadmap: 950 → 960 → 970

Huawei unveiled its three-generation chip roadmap at HC 2025 (September 2025) with a very clear timeline:

Ascend 950 Series (2026)

ModelLaunchKey Features
950PR2026-Q1PR (inference-optimized), already in mass production
950DT2026-Q4DT (Decode + training), expected to scale up

Technical highlights:

  • Added FP8/MXFP8/MXFP4 support
  • Interconnect bandwidth 2TB/s (2.5x over 910C)

Ascend 960 (2027-Q4)

  • Doubled compute: All specs double versus the 950 series
  • FP8: ~2 PFLOPS expected
  • Process: N+3 (equivalent to 5nm)
  • Positioning: Targets NVIDIA B200

Ascend 970 (2028-Q4)

  • Third-generation flagship: Only timeline announced, specs TBD
  • Significance: Huawei's first complete generation-spanning roadmap
  • Signal: China's domestic AI chips have entered a "roadmap-driven" phase

4. Intel Jaguar Shores: Timeline Uncertain

Original Plan

  • Launch: 2026
  • Architecture: Xe-HPC + Gaudi fusion
  • Process: 18A (Intel's most advanced)
  • Memory: Possibly HBM4E (instead of originally planned HBM4)

Latest Developments

  • Possible delay: Some sources suggest a slip to 2027
  • Competitors: AMD MI400 already unveiled, NVIDIA Rubin in mass production
  • Market pressure: Intel is losing ground in the AI chip market; Jaguar Shores is its last chance

Impact on Roadmap

If Jaguar Shores slips to 2027, Intel will essentially be out of the AI chip market.


5. NVIDIA Rubin Platform: Full Mass Production

Rubin R200 (2026-Q2 full mass production)

FeatureSpec
HBM288GB HBM4
Compute50 PFLOPS FP4
NVLinkNVLink 6 (1800 GB/s)
ProcessTSMC 4NP

Rubin NVL72 Cabinet (2026 H2 shipment)

  • 72 Rubin GPUs
  • 36 Vera CPUs
  • 1.8 EFLOPS FP4
  • Direct liquid cooling

Vera CPU (Debut)

  • Architecture: Custom CPU replacing Grace
  • Positioning: Deep co-design with Rubin GPU
  • Significance: NVIDIA's transformation from a GPU company into a computing platform company

6. Google TPU v8: Training/Inference Officially Split

TPU 8t (training) + TPU 8i (inference)

At Cloud Next 2026, Google announced TPU v8 would officially split into training and inference versions:

FeatureTPU 8t (training)TPU 8i (inference)
OptimizationHigh compute, high bandwidthLow latency, low cost
InterconnectOptical interconnectEthernet
Launch20272027

Significance

  • Industry trend: Specialization of training/inference chips
  • Followers: Qualcomm AI 200 is also inference-only
  • NVIDIA pressure: Does it need an inference-specific chip?

7. Cerebras WSE-4: Wafer-Scale Engine Evolves

Core Specs

FeatureSpec
Transistors1.4 trillion
Compute125 PFLOPS FP8
Launch2026 H2
ProcessTSMC 5nm

Competitive Advantages

  • Massive model training: A single WSE-4 can train 10T+ parameter models
  • Low-latency inference: Entire model on one chip, no communication overhead
  • Mature software stack: Cerebras stack already supports PyTorch, TensorFlow

8. Market Landscape Analysis

Training Market

RankVendorProductMarket Share (est.)
1NVIDIARubin R20070%
2AMDMI455X15%
3GoogleTPU v8t10%
4HuaweiAscend 9605% (mostly China)

Inference Market (New Battlefield)

RankVendorProductAdvantage
1NVIDIAH200 / Rubin CPXMature ecosystem
2QualcommAI 200Low TCO
3AMDMI440XGood compatibility
4IntelGaudi 4Low price

Trend 1: Rise of Inference-Specific Chips

  • Qualcomm AI 200: Mobile giant enters the market
  • NVIDIA Rubin CPX: NVIDIA's first inference-specific chip
  • Google TPU 8i: Training/inference officially split

Trend 2: Rack-Scale Solutions Become Standard

  • NVIDIA NVL72: 72 GPU + 36 CPU
  • AMD Helios: 18 CPU + 72 GPU
  • Qualcomm rack: 160kW liquid-cooled rack

Trend 3: China's Domestic Chips Enter "Roadmap-Driven" Phase

  • Huawei three-generation roadmap: 950 → 960 → 970
  • Clear timeline: 2026-Q1 → 2027-Q4 → 2028-Q4
  • Significance: From "catch-up" to "planning"

Trend 4: HBM Capacity Becomes the Bottleneck

  • SK hynix: HBM4 capacity already booked by NVIDIA
  • Samsung: HBM4E samples delivered to AMD
  • Impact: MI400 and Rubin R200 shipments constrained by HBM capacity

10. Procurement Recommendations

If Procuring in 2026 H2

  1. Training scenarios:

    • First choice: NVIDIA Rubin R200 (best performance)
    • Alternative: AMD MI455X (better price/performance)
    • Domestic: Huawei Ascend 950DT (China-based customers)
  2. Inference scenarios:

    • First choice: NVIDIA H200 (mature ecosystem)
    • Best value: Qualcomm AI 200 (if available)
    • Cost-sensitive: AMD MI440X
  3. HPC scenarios:

    • Only choice: AMD MI430X (FP64 support)

If Procuring in 2027

  • Wait for Rubin Ultra: Performance possibly 2x R200
  • Watch MI500: AMD's next-generation product
  • Evaluate TPU v8: If already on Google Cloud

Conclusion

2026 H2 will be the most fiercely contested half-year in AI chip market history:

  • NVIDIA continues to lead, but its advantage is narrowing
  • AMD precisely positions three models; market share will keep rising
  • Qualcomm enters the inference market; its low-TCO strategy may disrupt the market
  • Huawei has a clear three-generation roadmap; domestic substitution accelerates
  • Intel's Jaguar Shores is make-or-break

For procurement decision-makers, this is the hardest time to decide — every option has clear pros and cons.

For engineers, this is the best of times — chip performance doubles yearly, architectural innovation is endless.


References

  • AI Compute Card Future Roadmap - MirrorFrog real-time updates
  • NVIDIA Rubin R200 deep dive (see related articles on this site)
  • AMD MI400 series CES 2026 launch (see related articles on this site)
  • Qualcomm AI 100 launch analysis (coming soon)

Last updated: 2026-06-20
Author: Charles Qing
Tags: #roadmap #market-analysis #procurement

Milestone! Huawei Ascend 910C Completes Full-Parameter Training of a 1.6-Trillion-Parameter Model

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

On June 5, 2026, Shenzhen announced a major piece of news: Shenzhen Hetao College, together with HIT (Shenzhen) and Huawei, used 1,000 Huawei Ascend 910C chips to successfully complete full-parameter post-training of the 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro large model.

This was no tentative attempt, but a milestone technological breakthrough. It proved with irrefutable engineering results that: domestic AI chips are fully capable of supporting world-class, super-large-parameter model training.

Why this matters

The two thresholds of AI chips: "inference" and "training"

  • Inference: using an existing model to chat, write copy. Domestic chips could already do this
  • Training: adjusting model parameters to learn new capabilities. Full-parameter training adjusts all 1.6 trillion parameters at once — maximum difficulty

Previously, full-parameter training of trillion-scale models was monopolized by NVIDIA H100/H200. Domestic chips could only do inference, not large-scale training.

The significance of this breakthrough: domestic compute leapt from "usable" to "useful", from "inference" to "training".

Technical details

Training configuration

ItemParameter
ChipsHuawei Ascend 910C × 1,000
ModelDeepSeek-V4-Pro
Parameters1.6 trillion (1600B)
Training typeFull-parameter post-training
FrameworkMindSpore + torch_npu
CompletedAnnounced June 5, 2026

Performance metrics

MetricValueAssessment
Compute utilization>30%Industrial grade (top overseas chips ~40%)
Key training operator efficiency+14%vs previous-gen 910B
Communication bandwidth utilization>60% (est.)MoE All-to-All communication
Stability1,000 cards trained continuously with no failuresCluster stability met standard

💡 About 30% compute utilization: many feel 30% is low, but in large-model training this is already a very respectable industrial-grade level. Even with the most advanced overseas chips, many teams' actual utilization is around 40%.

Ascend 910C detailed specs

Ascend 910C is Huawei's AI training/inference chip announced at the Huawei Analyst Conference (April 24, 2024), with a theoretical peak of 800 TFLOPS (BF16), in the same class as NVIDIA H100.

ParameterAscend 910CAscend 910BNVIDIA H100
ArchitectureAscend 910CAscend 910BHopper
ProcessTSMC 7nm (est.)TSMC 7nmTSMC 4NP
BF16 compute800 TFLOPS256 TFLOPS989 TFLOPS (sparse)
Memory64GB HBM (est.)64GB HBM2e (B1/B2)80GB HBM3
Memory bandwidth~2TB/s (est.)600 GB/s (B1/B2)3.35 TB/s
TDP~400W (est.)300-400W700W
Mass productionApril 2026 (full production)Nov 2022Mar 2022

Key upgrades:

  • 3× compute: from 910B's 256 TFLOPS to 800 TFLOPS
  • Mature software ecosystem: torch_npu adapts PyTorch, MindSpore framework mature
  • Cluster stability: 1,000 cards trained continuously with no failures (the biggest breakthrough)

Technical challenges and solutions

Challenge 1: Memory demand of trillion-scale models

A 1.6-trillion-parameter model needs, just for model parameters:

  • FP16: 1.6T × 2 bytes = 3.2 TB
  • Plus gradients and optimizer states: at least 10 TB of memory

Huawei's solution:

  • Model Parallel: distribute the model across 1,000 910C chips
  • ZeRO optimizer: optimize memory footprint
  • Gradient accumulation: update parameters in stages

Challenge 2: Communication efficiency of thousand-card clusters

Training with 1,000 chips, inter-chip communication becomes the bottleneck. MoE models need All-to-All communication (each expert may need to communicate with all others).

Huawei's solution:

  • HCCS (Huawei Collective Communication Scheduler): in-house high-speed interconnect protocol
  • Layered communication: intra-node NVLink + inter-node HCCS
  • Communication-compute overlap: data transfer concurrent with computation

Challenge 3: Training stability

Trillion-scale model training takes weeks or months; any single card failure can interrupt the entire training.

Huawei's solution:

  • Fault detection and auto-recovery: real-time monitoring of card status, auto-restart and recovery on failure
  • Checkpoint optimization: high-frequency training-state saves (every N steps)
  • Ascend cluster management software: designed specifically for enterprise training

Competitive comparison

VendorChip1.6T-param trainingEcosystem maturityAvailability
HuaweiAscend 910CCompleted⭐⭐⭐ (improving)China-localized
NVIDIAH100/H200✅ Industry standard⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Global (export-controlled)
AMDMI300X✅ Feasible⭐⭐⭐⭐Global
GoogleTPU v5p/8t✅ JAX-native⭐⭐⭐⭐Google Cloud

Conclusion: Ascend 910C has caught up to H100 in hardware performance, still lags in software ecosystem, but this training success proves engineering feasibility.

Industry impact

1. The "Zunyi Conference" of domestic compute

This breakthrough is called the "Zunyi Conference" of domestic compute — from passive defense to strategic counteroffensive.

Specific impact:

  • Breaks the bias that "domestic chips can only do inference"
  • Proves domestic chips can train frontier models
  • Provides compute foundation for domestic large models (e.g., DeepSeek-V4, ERNIE 5.0)

2. Impact on NVIDIA

Huawei Ascend 910C completing trillion-scale training means China's AI industry is less dependent on NVIDIA.

ScenarioBeforeNow
InferenceDomestic chips usableDomestic chips useful
TrainingMust use H100/H200Can use 910C
Large-scale trainingMust use H100 clustersCan use 910C clusters

3. Boost to the domestic chip industry

This breakthrough will drive the entire domestic AI chip supply chain:

  • Chip design: Cambricon, MetaX, Moore Threads accelerate iteration
  • Wafer manufacturing: SMIC, Hua Hong get more orders
  • Packaging/test: JCET, TFME benefit

Huawei Ascend roadmap (2025-2028)

TimeChipPositioning
Q1 2025Ascend 910CFlagship training/inference (mass-produced)
Q1 2026Ascend 950PRInference-optimized (~500 TFLOPS BF16)
Q4 2026Ascend 950DTData-center training
Q4 2027Ascend 960Next-gen flagship
Q4 2028Ascend 970Next-next-gen

Training lessons shared

The Shenzhen Hetao College team accumulated valuable experience:

✅ Successes

  1. Progressive training: start from small models (7B), gradually scale to 1.6T
  2. Mixed-precision training: BF16 main + FP32 gradient accumulation
  3. Communication optimization: All-to-All overlap with computation
  4. Fault recovery: save checkpoint every 1,000 steps

⚠️ Challenges encountered

  1. Memory fragmentation: severe fragmentation over long training, needs periodic cleanup
  2. Communication bottleneck: MoE All-to-All takes 30%+ of training time
  3. Software bugs: torch_npu occasional memory leak, needs training process restart

References


This article is compiled from public reports. Salute to the teams at Shenzhen Hetao College, HIT (Shenzhen), and Huawei — you proved the feasibility of China's AI compute with engineering results.